Teekay Stock Price Prediction

TK Stock  USD 7.93  0.03  0.38%   
As of now, the value of relative strength index of Teekay's share price is approaching 41. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Teekay, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Teekay's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Teekay, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Teekay's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Wall Street Target Price
5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Using Teekay hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teekay from the perspective of Teekay response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Teekay to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Teekay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Teekay after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Teekay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.116.619.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.047.5410.04
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details

Teekay After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Teekay at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teekay or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teekay, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Teekay Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Teekay's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teekay's historical news coverage. Teekay's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.43 and 10.43, respectively. We have considered Teekay's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.93
7.93
After-hype Price
10.43
Upside
Teekay is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teekay is based on 3 months time horizon.

Teekay Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teekay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teekay backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teekay, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
2.50
 0.00  
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.93
7.93
0.00 
12,500  
Notes

Teekay Hype Timeline

As of November 25, 2024 Teekay is listed for 7.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Teekay is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teekay is about 3070.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.93. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Teekay has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of May 2004. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Teekay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.

Teekay Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Teekay's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teekay's future price movements. Getting to know how Teekay's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teekay may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Teekay Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Teekay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teekay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teekay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Teekay Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Teekay stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Teekay, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Teekay based on analysis of Teekay hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Teekay's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Teekay's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.150.23
Price To Sales Ratio0.120.47

Story Coverage note for Teekay

The number of cover stories for Teekay depends on current market conditions and Teekay's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teekay is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teekay's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Teekay Short Properties

Teekay's future price predictability will typically decrease when Teekay's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teekay often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teekay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teekay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments652.7 M
Check out Teekay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teekay. If investors know Teekay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teekay listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Earnings Share
1.51
Revenue Per Share
14.064
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.1121
The market value of Teekay is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teekay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teekay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teekay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teekay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teekay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teekay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teekay is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teekay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.