Tekfen Holding (Turkey) Price Prediction
| TKFEN Stock | TRY 77.40 5.05 6.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tekfen Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tekfen Holding AS from the perspective of Tekfen Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tekfen Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tekfen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tekfen Holding after-hype prediction price | TRY 77.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tekfen |
Tekfen Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tekfen Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tekfen Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tekfen Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tekfen Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tekfen Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tekfen Holding's historical news coverage. Tekfen Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.32 and 80.48, respectively. We have considered Tekfen Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tekfen Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tekfen Holding AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tekfen Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tekfen Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tekfen Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tekfen Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 3.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.40 | 77.40 | 0.00 |
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Tekfen Holding Hype Timeline
Tekfen Holding AS is at this time traded for 77.40on Istanbul Stock Exchange of Turkey. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tekfen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tekfen Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.40. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.67. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tekfen Holding AS last dividend was issued on the 26th of April 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the 10th of June 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Tekfen Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tekfen Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tekfen Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tekfen Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Tekfen Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tekfen Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SISE | Turkiye Sise ve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.49 | (3.06) | 7.48 | |
| TUPRS | Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.66 | (2.14) | 6.28 | |
| PETKM | Petkim Petrokimya Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.80 | (3.54) | 10.93 | |
| TAVHL | TAV Havalimanlari Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.95 | 0.03 | 3.79 | (3.69) | 9.76 | |
| TOASO | Tofas Turk Otomobil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.18 | (4.51) | 10.29 |
Tekfen Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tekfen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tekfen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tekfen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tekfen Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tekfen Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tekfen Holding AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tekfen Holding based on analysis of Tekfen Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tekfen Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tekfen Holding's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Tekfen Holding
The number of cover stories for Tekfen Holding depends on current market conditions and Tekfen Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tekfen Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tekfen Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tekfen Holding Short Properties
Tekfen Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tekfen Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tekfen Holding AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tekfen Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tekfen Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 370 M |
Complementary Tools for Tekfen Stock analysis
When running Tekfen Holding's price analysis, check to measure Tekfen Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tekfen Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Tekfen Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tekfen Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tekfen Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tekfen Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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