Troilus Gold Corp Stock Price Prediction
| TLG Stock | CAD 2.16 0.09 4.35% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 3.47 |
Using Troilus Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Troilus Gold Corp from the perspective of Troilus Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Troilus Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Troilus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Troilus Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 2.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Troilus |
Troilus Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Troilus Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Troilus Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Troilus Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Troilus Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Troilus Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Troilus Gold's historical news coverage. Troilus Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 6.09, respectively. We have considered Troilus Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Troilus Gold is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Troilus Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Troilus Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Troilus Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Troilus Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Troilus Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 3.81 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.16 | 2.16 | 0.00 |
|
Troilus Gold Hype Timeline
Troilus Gold Corp is at this time traded for 2.16on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Troilus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.74%. %. The volatility of related hype on Troilus Gold is about 11723.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.18. About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. Troilus Gold Corp last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2018. The entity had 1:4 split on the 3rd of January 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Troilus Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Troilus Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Troilus Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Troilus Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Troilus Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Troilus Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FWZ | Fireweed Zinc | 0.15 | 7 per month | 2.87 | 0.08 | 5.17 | (4.98) | 11.98 | |
| PMET | Patriot Battery Metals | (0.04) | 4 per month | 3.36 | 0.21 | 11.11 | (5.36) | 21.57 | |
| WRN | Western Copper and | (0.05) | 3 per month | 2.51 | 0.25 | 6.94 | (4.78) | 16.68 | |
| GQC | GoldQuest Mining Corp | (0.09) | 4 per month | 3.86 | 0.14 | 9.86 | (7.18) | 30.08 | |
| FVL | Freegold Ventures Limited | 0.15 | 4 per month | 2.85 | 0.17 | 6.33 | (4.55) | 20.19 | |
| UCU | Ucore Rare Metals | 0.15 | 4 per month | 5.93 | 0.12 | 12.96 | (9.97) | 41.61 | |
| NCX | NorthIsle Copper and | (0.16) | 3 per month | 3.34 | 0.18 | 10.00 | (6.23) | 27.51 | |
| ARA | Aclara Resources | 0.15 | 1 per month | 5.16 | 0.09 | 13.82 | (7.94) | 52.60 |
Troilus Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Troilus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Troilus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Troilus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Troilus Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Troilus Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Troilus Gold Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Troilus Gold based on analysis of Troilus Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Troilus Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Troilus Gold's related companies.
Pair Trading with Troilus Gold
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Troilus Gold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Troilus Gold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Troilus Stock
| 0.96 | AG | First Majestic Silver | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | IE | Ivanhoe Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | FDR | Flinders Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Troilus Stock
| 0.7 | ORC-A | Orca Energy Group | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | RCI-A | Rogers Communications | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | DII-A | Dorel Industries ClA | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Troilus Gold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Troilus Gold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Troilus Gold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Troilus Gold Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Troilus Gold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Troilus Gold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Troilus Gold Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Troilus Gold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Troilus Stock
Troilus Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Troilus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Troilus with respect to the benefits of owning Troilus Gold security.