TOA Paint (Thailand) Price Prediction
| TOA Stock | THB 14.30 0.20 1.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using TOA Paint hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TOA Paint Public from the perspective of TOA Paint response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TOA Paint to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TOA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TOA Paint after-hype prediction price | THB 14.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TOA |
TOA Paint After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TOA Paint at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TOA Paint or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TOA Paint, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TOA Paint Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TOA Paint's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TOA Paint's historical news coverage. TOA Paint's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.89 and 16.71, respectively. We have considered TOA Paint's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TOA Paint is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TOA Paint Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
TOA Paint Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TOA Paint is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TOA Paint backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TOA Paint, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.30 | 14.30 | 0.00 |
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TOA Paint Hype Timeline
TOA Paint Public is at this time traded for 14.30on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TOA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on TOA Paint is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.30. About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out TOA Paint Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TOA Paint Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TOA Paint's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TOA Paint's future price movements. Getting to know how TOA Paint's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TOA Paint may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BJC | Berli Jucker Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | (0.04) | 2.23 | (1.94) | 7.66 | |
| CBG | Carabao Group Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.04 | 2.96 | (2.78) | 12.65 | |
| HMPRO | Home Product Center | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | (0.04) | 3.16 | (2.78) | 14.11 | |
| BDMS | Bangkok Dusit Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.78 | (2.52) | 6.76 | |
| KTC | Krungthai Card PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | (0.01) | 2.63 | (2.34) | 6.79 |
TOA Paint Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TOA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TOA using various technical indicators. When you analyze TOA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About TOA Paint Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TOA Paint stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TOA Paint Public, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TOA Paint based on analysis of TOA Paint hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TOA Paint's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TOA Paint's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TOA Paint
The number of cover stories for TOA Paint depends on current market conditions and TOA Paint's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TOA Paint is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TOA Paint's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TOA Paint Short Properties
TOA Paint's future price predictability will typically decrease when TOA Paint's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TOA Paint Public often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TOA Paint's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TOA Paint's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
Other Information on Investing in TOA Stock
TOA Paint financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOA with respect to the benefits of owning TOA Paint security.