Thai Optical (Thailand) Price Prediction

TOG Stock  THB 6.45  0.05  0.77%   
The value of RSI of Thai Optical's share price is below 30 as of now. This usually implies that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Thai Optical Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Thai Optical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Thai Optical Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Thai Optical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thai Optical Group from the perspective of Thai Optical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thai Optical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Thai Optical after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 6.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Thai Optical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.476.567.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.386.477.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.346.526.71
Details

Thai Optical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Thai Optical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thai Optical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thai Optical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Thai Optical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Thai Optical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thai Optical's historical news coverage. Thai Optical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.36 and 7.54, respectively. We have considered Thai Optical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.45
6.45
After-hype Price
7.54
Upside
Thai Optical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thai Optical Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Thai Optical Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thai Optical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thai Optical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thai Optical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.10
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.45
6.45
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Thai Optical Hype Timeline

Thai Optical Group is at this time traded for 6.45on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thai is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thai Optical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.45. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Thai Optical was at this time reported as 4.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Thai Optical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Thai Optical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Thai Optical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thai Optical's future price movements. Getting to know how Thai Optical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thai Optical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MASTERMaster Style PCL 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.04 (3.80) 24.55 
RJHRajthanee Hospital Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.59 (2.54) 7.18 
M-CHAIMahachai Hospital Public 0.00 0 per month 1.25 (0.03) 2.40 (2.30) 8.52 
NTVNonthavej Hospital Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.90 (1.33) 7.43 
RPHRatchaphruek Hospital Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 0.41 (0.81) 2.05 
BIZBusiness Alignment Public 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.06  1.51 (1.04) 5.28 
LPHLadprao General Hospital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.56 (1.10) 3.32 
EKHEkachai Medical Care 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.00 (0.99) 3.88 
AHCAikchol Hospital Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.26 (2.14) 12.64 
WPHWattanapat Hospital Trang 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.70 (3.10) 12.36 

Thai Optical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Thai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Thai Optical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Thai Optical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thai Optical Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thai Optical based on analysis of Thai Optical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thai Optical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thai Optical's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Optical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Optical security.