Traton Se Stock Price Patterns
| TRATF Stock | USD 36.97 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 90
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Traton SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Traton SE from the perspective of Traton SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Traton SE to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Traton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Traton SE after-hype prediction price | USD 36.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Traton |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Traton SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Traton SE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Traton SE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Traton SE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Traton SE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Traton SE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Traton SE's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Traton SE's historical news coverage. Traton SE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.00 and 37.94, respectively. We have considered Traton SE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Traton SE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Traton SE is based on 3 months time horizon.
Traton SE Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Traton SE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Traton SE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Traton SE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.97 | 36.97 | 0.00 |
|
Traton SE Hype Timeline
Traton SE is at this time traded for 36.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Traton is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Traton SE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.97. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.51. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Traton SE last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Traton SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Traton SE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Traton SE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Traton SE's future price movements. Getting to know how Traton SE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Traton SE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KUBTF | Kubota | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 4.50 | (0.34) | 19.89 | |
| SINGY | Singapore Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.20 | (1.36) | 3.76 | |
| SINGF | Singapore Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (9.07) | 17.76 | |
| NPNYY | Nippon Yusen Kabushiki | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.94 | (2.31) | 7.63 | |
| NYUKF | Nippon Yusen Kabushiki | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.28 | 12.14 | (7.94) | 19.02 | |
| ZLIOF | Zoomlion Heavy Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 5.26 | 0.00 | 66.00 | |
| NNDNF | Nidec | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.66 | (0.90) | 34.07 | |
| BVVBY | Bureau Veritas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.68 | (1.68) | 4.79 | |
| BVRDF | Bureau Veritas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.98 | |
| NJDCY | Nidec | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.03 | 0.05 | 14.71 | (13.94) | 42.30 |
Traton SE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Traton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Traton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Traton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Traton SE Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Traton SE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Traton SE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Traton SE based on analysis of Traton SE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Traton SE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Traton SE's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Traton Pink Sheet analysis
When running Traton SE's price analysis, check to measure Traton SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Traton SE is operating at the current time. Most of Traton SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Traton SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Traton SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Traton SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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