Textron (Germany) Price Patterns
| TXT Stock | EUR 76.90 2.88 3.89% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.743 | Wall Street Target Price 83.75 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.156 |
Using Textron hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Textron from the perspective of Textron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Textron to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Textron because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Textron after-hype prediction price | EUR 74.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Textron |
Textron After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Textron at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Textron or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Textron, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Textron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Textron's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Textron's historical news coverage. Textron's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.31 and 75.83, respectively. We have considered Textron's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Textron is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Textron is based on 3 months time horizon.
Textron Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Textron is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Textron backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Textron, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.81 | 0.07 | 0.21 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
76.90 | 74.07 | 0.07 |
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Textron Hype Timeline
Textron is at this time traded for 76.90on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Textron is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 74.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Textron is about 161.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.11. The company reported the revenue of 13.7 B. Net Income was 824 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.16 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Textron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Textron Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Textron's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Textron's future price movements. Getting to know how Textron's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Textron may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SQS | Sqs Software Quality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.80 | 0.12 | 5.32 | (4.32) | 22.63 | |
| UWV | WT OFFSHORE | 0.00 | 4 per month | 3.20 | 0 | 6.29 | (4.96) | 18.36 | |
| TKE | Take Two Interactive Software | (0.95) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.18 | (3.71) | 13.09 | |
| SZL | SOLSTAD OFFSHORE NK | (0.13) | 1 per month | 2.65 | 0.09 | 3.51 | (2.82) | 18.88 | |
| IHCB | SBM OFFSHORE | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.60 | 0.06 | 2.65 | (1.37) | 10.26 | |
| CPU2 | CPU SOFTWAREHOUSE | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | (5.19) | 22.95 | |
| A9F | Alfa Financial Software | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.69 | (2.44) | 9.19 | |
| W9C | Constellation Software | 10.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.55 | (6.74) | 13.41 |
Textron Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Textron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Textron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Textron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Textron Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Textron stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Textron, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Textron based on analysis of Textron hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Textron's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Textron's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Textron Stock analysis
When running Textron's price analysis, check to measure Textron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Textron is operating at the current time. Most of Textron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Textron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Textron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Textron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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