Vinyl (Australia) Price Patterns
| VNL Stock | 0.08 0 2.53% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.655 |
Using Vinyl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vinyl Group from the perspective of Vinyl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vinyl to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vinyl because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vinyl after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vinyl |
Vinyl After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vinyl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vinyl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vinyl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vinyl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vinyl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vinyl's historical news coverage. Vinyl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 2.93, respectively. We have considered Vinyl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vinyl is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vinyl Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vinyl Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vinyl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vinyl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vinyl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.87 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.08 | 0.08 | 1.23 |
|
Vinyl Hype Timeline
Vinyl Group is at this time traded for 0.08on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Vinyl is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Vinyl is about 803.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Vinyl Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Vinyl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vinyl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vinyl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vinyl's future price movements. Getting to know how Vinyl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vinyl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MQG | Macquarie Group | (1.49) | 9 per month | 0.88 | 0.02 | 2.64 | (1.67) | 5.00 | |
| NEM | Newmont | 0.70 | 7 per month | 3.37 | 0.11 | 5.64 | (5.27) | 15.83 | |
| RIO | RIO Tinto | (3.98) | 11 per month | 1.89 | 0.16 | 2.57 | (3.23) | 10.19 | |
| CSL | CSL | 0.60 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.02 | (2.51) | 9.75 | |
| XYZ | Block Inc | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.68 | (6.54) | 18.83 | |
| LNW | Light Wonder | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.76 | 0 | 4.13 | (3.92) | 27.13 | |
| AAI | Alcoa | 0.53 | 7 per month | 2.89 | 0.16 | 6.21 | (5.23) | 15.79 | |
| CBA | Commonwealth Bank of | (0.03) | 6 per month | 1.16 | 0.05 | 2.30 | (1.81) | 8.24 | |
| CBAPK | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | (0.09) | 0.90 | (0.65) | 2.14 | |
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.05 | (0.34) | 0.23 | (0.25) | 1.08 |
Vinyl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vinyl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vinyl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vinyl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vinyl Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vinyl stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vinyl Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vinyl based on analysis of Vinyl hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vinyl's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vinyl's related companies.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for Vinyl Stock Analysis
When running Vinyl's price analysis, check to measure Vinyl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vinyl is operating at the current time. Most of Vinyl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vinyl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vinyl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vinyl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.