Vossloh AG (Germany) Price Prediction
| VOS Stock | 42.35 0.20 0.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
22
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vossloh AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vossloh AG from the perspective of Vossloh AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vossloh AG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vossloh because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vossloh AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 42.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vossloh |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vossloh AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vossloh AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vossloh AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vossloh AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vossloh AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vossloh AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vossloh AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vossloh AG's historical news coverage. Vossloh AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.04 and 43.66, respectively. We have considered Vossloh AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vossloh AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vossloh AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vossloh AG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vossloh AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vossloh AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vossloh AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
42.35 | 42.35 | 0.00 |
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Vossloh AG Hype Timeline
Vossloh AG is at this time traded for 42.35on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vossloh is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vossloh AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.35. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vossloh AG last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. The entity had 667:647 split on the 31st of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be any time. Check out Vossloh AG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vossloh AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vossloh AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vossloh AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Vossloh AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vossloh AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2OX | Goosehead Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.23 | 4.90 | (2.78) | 15.23 | |
| 4JP | Japan Post Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 2.72 | (2.35) | 10.37 | |
| 59M | MSAD INSURANCE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | (0.04) | 2.83 | (1.89) | 7.49 | |
| 7XJ | LIFENET INSURANCE CO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.07 | 4.55 | (3.31) | 12.54 | |
| FV8 | Fevertree Drinks PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.81 | (2.87) | 11.61 | |
| BBEA | BOSTON BEER A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.11 | 2.90 | (1.95) | 7.13 | |
| H0O | REVO INSURANCE SPA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | 0.12 | 1.89 | (1.29) | 5.67 | |
| PZX | Ping An Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | 0.17 | 8.08 | (3.85) | 37.97 |
Vossloh AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vossloh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vossloh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vossloh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vossloh AG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vossloh AG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vossloh AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vossloh AG based on analysis of Vossloh AG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vossloh AG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vossloh AG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vossloh AG
The number of cover stories for Vossloh AG depends on current market conditions and Vossloh AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vossloh AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vossloh AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vossloh AG Short Properties
Vossloh AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vossloh AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vossloh AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vossloh AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vossloh AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.3 M |
Additional Tools for Vossloh Stock Analysis
When running Vossloh AG's price analysis, check to measure Vossloh AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vossloh AG is operating at the current time. Most of Vossloh AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vossloh AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vossloh AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vossloh AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.