Virtra Inc Stock Price Prediction
| VTSI Stock | USD 4.75 0.34 7.71% |
Momentum 27
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.055 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.145 | Wall Street Target Price 8.25 |
Using VirTra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VirTra Inc from the perspective of VirTra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VirTra using VirTra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VirTra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VirTra's stock price.
VirTra Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in VirTra's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards VirTra. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of VirTra stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 5.4812 | Short Percent 0.0071 | Short Ratio 1.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 126 K | 50 Day MA 5.0133 |
VirTra Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to VirTra's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VirTra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VirTra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VirTra Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VirTra's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VirTra.
VirTra Implied Volatility | 1.7 |
VirTra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VirTra Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VirTra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VirTra stock will not fluctuate a lot when VirTra's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VirTra to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VirTra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VirTra after-hype prediction price | USD 4.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out VirTra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VirTra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VirTra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VirTra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VirTra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VirTra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VirTra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VirTra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VirTra's historical news coverage. VirTra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.71 and 7.59, respectively. We have considered VirTra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VirTra is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VirTra Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
VirTra Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VirTra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VirTra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VirTra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.94 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.75 | 4.65 | 2.11 |
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VirTra Hype Timeline
VirTra Inc is at this time traded for 4.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. VirTra is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on VirTra is about 52920.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.75. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VirTra Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2018. The firm had 1:2 split on the 2nd of March 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out VirTra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VirTra Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VirTra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VirTra's future price movements. Getting to know how VirTra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VirTra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACCL | Acco Group Holdings | (0.08) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 15.43 | (10.86) | 29.47 | |
| DPRO | Draganfly | (0.50) | 11 per month | 7.19 | 0.01 | 14.65 | (11.13) | 34.84 | |
| AIRT | Air T Inc | (0.42) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.43 | (5.98) | 27.97 | |
| YSXT | YSX Tech Co | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.06 | (12.41) | 43.58 | |
| DFLI | Chardan NexTech Acquisition | 1.00 | 9 per month | 12.49 | 0.04 | 28.76 | (18.56) | 116.66 | |
| VATE | Innovate Corp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 3.38 | 0.05 | 7.56 | (6.37) | 25.66 | |
| SCWO | 374Water Common Stock | (0.20) | 9 per month | 9.66 | 0.04 | 20.00 | (22.22) | 117.76 | |
| HTCO | Caravelle International Group | 0.16 | 3 per month | 6.77 | 0.07 | 16.94 | (12.02) | 49.11 | |
| OMEX | Odyssey Marine Exploration | (0.04) | 7 per month | 6.70 | 0.05 | 15.10 | (9.47) | 55.74 |
VirTra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VirTra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VirTra using various technical indicators. When you analyze VirTra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VirTra Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VirTra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VirTra Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VirTra based on analysis of VirTra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VirTra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VirTra's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Graham Number | 8.19 | 3.35 | 3.02 | 2.4 | Receivables Turnover | 2.16 | 2.49 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
Story Coverage note for VirTra
The number of cover stories for VirTra depends on current market conditions and VirTra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VirTra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VirTra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VirTra Short Properties
VirTra's future price predictability will typically decrease when VirTra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VirTra Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VirTra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VirTra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18 M |
Complementary Tools for VirTra Stock analysis
When running VirTra's price analysis, check to measure VirTra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VirTra is operating at the current time. Most of VirTra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VirTra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VirTra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VirTra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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