Whitbread Plc Adr Stock Price Prediction
| WTBDY Stock | USD 9.13 0.03 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Whitbread PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Whitbread PLC ADR from the perspective of Whitbread PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Whitbread PLC to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Whitbread because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Whitbread PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 9.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Whitbread |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Whitbread PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Whitbread PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Whitbread PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Whitbread PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Whitbread PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Whitbread PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Whitbread PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Whitbread PLC's historical news coverage. Whitbread PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.40 and 10.86, respectively. We have considered Whitbread PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Whitbread PLC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Whitbread PLC ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Whitbread PLC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Whitbread PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Whitbread PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Whitbread PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.13 | 9.13 | 0.00 |
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Whitbread PLC Hype Timeline
Whitbread PLC ADR is at this time traded for 9.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Whitbread is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Whitbread PLC is about 102.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.11. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Whitbread PLC ADR last dividend was issued on the 9th of November 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 7th of November 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Whitbread PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Whitbread PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Whitbread PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Whitbread PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Whitbread PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Whitbread PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAR | Marriott International | (4.45) | 9 per month | 0.73 | 0.19 | 2.12 | (1.60) | 7.95 | |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings | (4.37) | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.12 | 2.06 | (1.65) | 5.61 | |
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels Group | 0.16 | 6 per month | 0.60 | 0.21 | 2.10 | (1.22) | 5.83 | |
| ICHGF | InterContinental Hotels Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.08 | 0.11 | 2.78 | (0.83) | 15.27 | |
| ACCYY | Accor SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.04 | 3.29 | (2.45) | 10.26 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | (1.16) | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.14 | 2.63 | (1.91) | 12.06 | |
| WTBDY | Whitbread PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | (0.03) | 3.24 | (2.43) | 11.60 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | (3.60) | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.11 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 7.70 |
Whitbread PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Whitbread price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Whitbread using various technical indicators. When you analyze Whitbread charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Whitbread PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Whitbread PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Whitbread PLC ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Whitbread PLC based on analysis of Whitbread PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Whitbread PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Whitbread PLC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Whitbread PLC
The number of cover stories for Whitbread PLC depends on current market conditions and Whitbread PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Whitbread PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Whitbread PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Whitbread PLC Short Properties
Whitbread PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Whitbread PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Whitbread PLC ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Whitbread PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Whitbread PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 752.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for Whitbread Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Whitbread PLC's price analysis, check to measure Whitbread PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Whitbread PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Whitbread PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Whitbread PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Whitbread PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Whitbread PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.