Xai Octagon Floating Stock Price Prediction

XFLT Stock  USD 6.95  0.01  0.14%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of XAI Octagon's share price is above 70 at this time. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling XAI, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of XAI Octagon's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with XAI Octagon Floating, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting XAI Octagon's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
8
Using XAI Octagon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XAI Octagon Floating from the perspective of XAI Octagon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in XAI Octagon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XAI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

XAI Octagon after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out XAI Octagon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.576.887.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.646.957.26
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.856.916.96
Details

XAI Octagon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of XAI Octagon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XAI Octagon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XAI Octagon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

XAI Octagon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting XAI Octagon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XAI Octagon's historical news coverage. XAI Octagon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.64 and 7.26, respectively. We have considered XAI Octagon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.95
6.95
After-hype Price
7.26
Upside
XAI Octagon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XAI Octagon Floating is based on 3 months time horizon.

XAI Octagon Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XAI Octagon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XAI Octagon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XAI Octagon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.31
 0.00  
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.95
6.95
0.00 
1,550  
Notes

XAI Octagon Hype Timeline

XAI Octagon Floating is at this time traded for 6.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. XAI is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on XAI Octagon is about 992.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.95. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. XAI Octagon Floating last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out XAI Octagon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

XAI Octagon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to XAI Octagon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XAI Octagon's future price movements. Getting to know how XAI Octagon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XAI Octagon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OXLCOxford Lane Capital(0.03)6 per month 0.51 (0.12) 1.00 (0.98) 3.24 
CSWCCapital Southwest(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.67 (1.46) 8.65 
CRFCornerstone Strategic Return 0.05 4 per month 0.06  0.21  1.81 (0.99) 3.89 
CLMCornerstone Strategic Value 0.07 3 per month 0.00  0.24  1.75 (0.80) 2.82 
PDOPimco Dynamic Income(0.06)4 per month 0.69 (0.11) 0.92 (1.01) 2.88 
PFNPimco Income Strategy(0.1)2 per month 0.20 (0.12) 0.66 (0.53) 2.28 
MEGIMainStay CBRE Global 0.21 4 per month 0.98 (0.09) 1.62 (1.86) 5.47 
PCNPimco Corporate Income(0.05)1 per month 0.37 (0.04) 0.95 (0.43) 3.26 
ECCEagle Point Credit 0.1 5 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.16 (1.49) 3.16 
OXSQOxford Square Capital(0.01)6 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.10 (1.44) 4.39 
GOFGuggenheim Strategic Opportunities 0.05 3 per month 0.40 (0.06) 0.98 (0.88) 1.94 
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending 0.29 7 per month 1.04 (0.07) 1.50 (1.71) 4.68 
TSLXSixth Street Specialty 0.15 6 per month 0.69 (0.12) 1.08 (1.04) 3.65 
HTGCHercules Capital(0.04)9 per month 0.88 (0.05) 1.56 (1.54) 5.01 
TCPCBlackRock TCP Capital(0.04)10 per month 1.36 (0.04) 2.62 (2.05) 11.22 
TRINTrinity Capital(0.07)11 per month 0.89 (0.04) 1.98 (1.55) 5.89 

XAI Octagon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XAI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XAI using various technical indicators. When you analyze XAI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About XAI Octagon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of XAI Octagon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as XAI Octagon Floating, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of XAI Octagon based on analysis of XAI Octagon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to XAI Octagon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to XAI Octagon's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio1.021.05
Dividend Yield0.110.08

Story Coverage note for XAI Octagon

The number of cover stories for XAI Octagon depends on current market conditions and XAI Octagon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XAI Octagon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XAI Octagon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

XAI Octagon Short Properties

XAI Octagon's future price predictability will typically decrease when XAI Octagon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XAI Octagon Floating often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XAI Octagon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XAI Octagon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.2 M
Dividends Paid32.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.02

Additional Tools for XAI Stock Analysis

When running XAI Octagon's price analysis, check to measure XAI Octagon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XAI Octagon is operating at the current time. Most of XAI Octagon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XAI Octagon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XAI Octagon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XAI Octagon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.