Commerzbank (Germany) Price Prediction
| ZZMS Stock | 15.10 0.20 1.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Commerzbank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Commerzbank AG from the perspective of Commerzbank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Commerzbank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Commerzbank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Commerzbank after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Commerzbank |
Commerzbank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Commerzbank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Commerzbank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Commerzbank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Commerzbank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Commerzbank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Commerzbank's historical news coverage. Commerzbank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.56 and 17.64, respectively. We have considered Commerzbank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Commerzbank is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Commerzbank AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Commerzbank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Commerzbank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Commerzbank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Commerzbank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.10 | 15.10 | 0.00 |
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Commerzbank Hype Timeline
Commerzbank AG is at this time traded for 15.10on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Commerzbank is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Commerzbank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.10. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.32. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Commerzbank AG has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Commerzbank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Commerzbank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Commerzbank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Commerzbank's future price movements. Getting to know how Commerzbank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Commerzbank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XSI | Sanyo Chemical Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.84 | (1.63) | 5.67 | |
| KGZ | KINGBOARD CHEMICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.10 | 5.50 | (3.39) | 24.58 | |
| CDE | Coeur Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.08) | 2.20 | (2.16) | 6.03 | |
| XYD | MINCO SILVER | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9.09 | (7.69) | 28.33 | |
| US8 | MCEWEN MINING INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.52 | (5.52) | 20.89 | |
| MSI | Mitsui Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.92 | (1.85) | 7.43 | |
| NSC | NISSAN CHEMICAL IND | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.03 | 1.89 | (1.89) | 4.54 | |
| WCLA | Calibre Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 4.11 | (4.09) | 13.59 |
Commerzbank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Commerzbank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commerzbank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Commerzbank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Commerzbank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Commerzbank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Commerzbank AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commerzbank based on analysis of Commerzbank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Commerzbank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Commerzbank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Commerzbank
The number of cover stories for Commerzbank depends on current market conditions and Commerzbank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Commerzbank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Commerzbank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Commerzbank Short Properties
Commerzbank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Commerzbank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Commerzbank AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Commerzbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commerzbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Additional Tools for Commerzbank Stock Analysis
When running Commerzbank's price analysis, check to measure Commerzbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerzbank is operating at the current time. Most of Commerzbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerzbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerzbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerzbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.