Alcoa Corp Current Valuation vs. Net Income

AA Stock  USD 60.49  0.80  1.34%   
Considering Alcoa Corp's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Alcoa Corp is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Alcoa Corp's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders. At present, Alcoa Corp's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 0.1, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is forecasted to decline to 21.12. At present, Alcoa Corp's Operating Income is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Income Before Tax is expected to grow to about 1.1 B, whereas Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is forecasted to decline to (5.4 B). At present, Alcoa Corp's Pretax Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.140.1358
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
For Alcoa Corp profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alcoa Corp to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alcoa Corp utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alcoa Corp's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alcoa Corp over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Alcoa Corp's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Check out Trending Equities.
For information on how to trade Alcoa Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcoa Stock guide.The next projected EPS of Alcoa Corp is estimated to be 1.18 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.7787 to a high of 1.4. Alcoa Corp's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 4.42. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alcoa Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alcoa Corp is projected to generate 1.18 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Alcoa Corp earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alcoa Corp EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alcoa Corp's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alcoa Corp, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alcoa Corp Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Alcoa Corp's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Alcoa Corp's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcoa Corp. If investors know Alcoa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alcoa Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.121
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
4.42
Revenue Per Share
49.468
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alcoa Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alcoa Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alcoa Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Alcoa Corp Net Income vs. Current Valuation Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Alcoa Corp's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Alcoa Corp value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Alcoa Corp is the top company in current valuation category among its peers. It also is number one stock in net income category among its peers making up about  0.07  of Net Income per Current Valuation. The ratio of Current Valuation to Net Income for Alcoa Corp is roughly  14.46 . At present, Alcoa Corp's Net Income is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Alcoa Corp's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

Alcoa Current Valuation vs. Competition

Alcoa Corp is the top company in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Materials industry is presently estimated at about 17.02 Billion. Alcoa Corp totals roughly 16.37 Billion in current valuation claiming about 96% of all equities under Materials industry.

Alcoa Net Income vs. Current Valuation

Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Alcoa Corp

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
16.37 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
Net income is the profit of a company for the reporting period, which is derived after taking revenues and gains and subtracting all expenses and losses. Net income is one of the most-watched numbers by money managers as well as individual investors.

Alcoa Corp

Net Income

 = 

(Rev + Gain)

-

(Exp + Loss)

 = 
1.13 B
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.

Alcoa Net Income Comparison

Alcoa Corp is currently under evaluation in net income category among its peers.

Alcoa Corp Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Alcoa Corp, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Alcoa Corp will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Alcoa Corp's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Alcoa Corp, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-5.2 B-5.4 B
Operating Income971 MB
Income Before Tax1.1 B1.1 B
Total Other Income Expense Net112 M117.6 M
Net Income1.1 B1.2 B
Income Tax Expense-49 M-46.5 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops27.6 M29 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares1.2 B1.2 B
Interest Income158 M160.8 M
Net Interest Income-179.4 M-188.4 M
Non Operating Income Net Other135.7 M74.8 M
Change To Netincome278.1 M345.7 M
Net Income Per Share 4.40  4.62 
Income Quality 1.05  1.28 
Net Income Per E B T 1.06  0.96 

Alcoa Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Alcoa Corp. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Alcoa Corp position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Alcoa Corp's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Alcoa Corp Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Alcoa Corp's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alcoa Corp is estimated to be 1.18 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.7787 to a high of 1.4. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alcoa Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.26
0.78
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.18
1.40
Highest

Alcoa Corp Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Alcoa Corp's value are higher than the current market price of the Alcoa Corp stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alcoa Corp is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alcoa Corp's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1357.14%
1.26
1.18
4.42

Alcoa Corp Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Alcoa Corp refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Alcoa Corp predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Alcoa Corp, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Alcoa Corp Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Alcoa Corp, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Alcoa Corp should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Alcoa Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alcoa Corp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2026-01-22
2025-12-311.011.260.2524 
2025-10-22
2025-09-30-0.05-0.020.0360 
2025-07-16
2025-06-300.390.390.0
2025-04-16
2025-03-311.412.150.7452 
2025-01-22
2024-12-311.011.040.03
2024-10-16
2024-09-300.30.570.2790 
2024-07-17
2024-06-300.090.160.0777 
2024-04-17
2024-03-31-0.44-0.81-0.3784 
2024-01-17
2023-12-31-0.86-0.560.334 
2023-10-18
2023-09-30-1.07-1.14-0.07
2023-07-19
2023-06-30-0.44-0.350.0920 
2023-04-19
2023-03-31-0.11-0.23-0.12109 
2023-01-18
2022-12-31-0.7-0.70.0
2022-10-19
2022-09-300.18-0.33-0.51283 
2022-07-20
2022-06-302.492.670.18
2022-04-20
2022-03-312.793.060.27
2022-01-19
2021-12-311.912.50.5930 
2021-10-14
2021-09-301.82.050.2513 
2021-07-15
2021-06-301.311.490.1813 
2021-04-15
2021-03-310.460.790.3371 
2021-01-20
2020-12-310.070.260.19271 
2020-10-14
2020-09-30-1.25-1.170.08
2020-07-15
2020-06-30-0.05-0.020.0360 
2020-04-22
2020-03-31-0.17-0.23-0.0635 
2020-01-15
2019-12-31-0.22-0.31-0.0940 
2019-10-16
2019-09-30-0.29-0.44-0.1551 
2019-07-17
2019-06-30-0.06-0.010.0583 
2019-04-17
2019-03-31-0.13-0.23-0.176 
2019-01-16
2018-12-310.50.660.1632 
2018-10-17
2018-09-300.340.630.2985 
2018-07-18
2018-06-301.321.520.215 
2018-04-18
2018-03-310.730.770.04
2018-01-17
2017-12-311.231.04-0.1915 
2017-10-18
2017-09-300.750.72-0.03
2017-07-19
2017-06-300.580.620.04
2017-04-24
2017-03-310.480.630.1531 
2017-01-24
2016-12-310.240.14-0.141 
2016-12-01
2016-09-300.040.02-0.0250 

Use Alcoa Corp in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alcoa Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Alcoa Corp Pair Trading

Alcoa Corp Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alcoa Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alcoa Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alcoa Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alcoa Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Alcoa Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alcoa Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alcoa Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alcoa Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Alcoa Corp position

In addition to having Alcoa Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run ESG Investing Thematic Idea Now

ESG Investing
ESG Investing Theme
Sustainable investments that promote the conservation of the natural world, social resposibility, freindly employees policies and strong governance. The ESG Investing theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ESG Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out Trending Equities.
For information on how to trade Alcoa Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcoa Stock guide.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
To fully project Alcoa Corp's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Alcoa Corp at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Alcoa Corp's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Alcoa Corp investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Alcoa Corp investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Alcoa Corp's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Alcoa Corp's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.