ConocoPhillips Profitability Analysis

COP Stock  USD 96.70  3.09  3.30%   
Based on ConocoPhillips' profitability indicators, ConocoPhillips' profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average risk of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess ConocoPhillips' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
B
Current Value
1.7 B
Quarterly Volatility
B
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, ConocoPhillips' Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/05/2026, EV To Sales is likely to grow to 2.36, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 32.24. At this time, ConocoPhillips' Income Before Tax is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/05/2026, Total Other Income Expense Net is likely to grow to about 1.1 B, while Income Tax Expense is likely to drop slightly above 3.7 B. At this time, ConocoPhillips' Pretax Profit Margin is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/05/2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.22, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 14.5 B.
For ConocoPhillips profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of ConocoPhillips to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well ConocoPhillips utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between ConocoPhillips's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of ConocoPhillips over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

ConocoPhillips' Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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To learn how to invest in ConocoPhillips Stock, please use our How to Invest in ConocoPhillips guide.The next projected EPS of ConocoPhillips is estimated to be 1.37 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.5425 to a high of 1.8825. ConocoPhillips' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 7.08. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for ConocoPhillips is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
ConocoPhillips is projected to generate 1.37 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. ConocoPhillips earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected ConocoPhillips EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on ConocoPhillips' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as ConocoPhillips, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

ConocoPhillips Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing ConocoPhillips' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across ConocoPhillips' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ConocoPhillips. If investors know ConocoPhillips will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ConocoPhillips listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Dividend Share
3.12
Earnings Share
7.08
Revenue Per Share
49.187
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.14
The market value of ConocoPhillips is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ConocoPhillips that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ConocoPhillips' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ConocoPhillips' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ConocoPhillips' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ConocoPhillips' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ConocoPhillips' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ConocoPhillips is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ConocoPhillips' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ConocoPhillips Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining ConocoPhillips's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare ConocoPhillips value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
ConocoPhillips is rated below average in return on equity category among its peers. It is rated third in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.53  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for ConocoPhillips is roughly  1.90 . At this time, ConocoPhillips' Return On Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value ConocoPhillips by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

ConocoPhillips Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

ConocoPhillips

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.15
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

ConocoPhillips

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.081
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

ConocoPhillips Return On Asset Comparison

ConocoPhillips is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

ConocoPhillips Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in ConocoPhillips, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, ConocoPhillips will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of ConocoPhillips' change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of ConocoPhillips, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-7.4 B-7.1 B
Operating Income14.7 B8.8 B
Income Before Tax15.7 B16.5 B
Total Other Income Expense NetB1.1 B
Net Income10.6 B11.2 B
Income Tax Expense5.1 B3.7 B
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares10.6 B7.3 B
Net Income From Continuing Ops10.6 B6.4 B
Non Operating Income Net OtherB3.1 B
Interest Income462.3 M450.1 M
Net Interest Income-811.9 M-852.5 M
Change To Netincome2.3 B2.4 B
Net Income Per Share 7.04  7.39 
Income Quality 2.50  2.59 
Net Income Per E B T 0.61  0.50 

ConocoPhillips Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on ConocoPhillips. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of ConocoPhillips position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the ConocoPhillips' important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

ConocoPhillips Profitability Trends

ConocoPhillips profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that ConocoPhillips' profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is ConocoPhillips' gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

ConocoPhillips Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between ConocoPhillips different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards ConocoPhillips in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down ConocoPhillips' future profitability.

ConocoPhillips Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of ConocoPhillips' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of ConocoPhillips is estimated to be 1.37 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.5425 to a high of 1.8825. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for ConocoPhillips is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.61
1.54
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.37
1.88
Highest

ConocoPhillips Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of ConocoPhillips' value are higher than the current market price of the ConocoPhillips stock. In this case, investors may conclude that ConocoPhillips is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and ConocoPhillips' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
2994.24%
1.61
1.37
7.08

ConocoPhillips Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of ConocoPhillips refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering ConocoPhillips predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of ConocoPhillips, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

ConocoPhillips Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as ConocoPhillips, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of ConocoPhillips should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact ConocoPhillips' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-11-06
2025-09-301.411.610.214 
2025-08-07
2025-06-301.361.420.06
2025-05-08
2025-03-312.052.090.04
2025-02-06
2024-12-311.831.980.15
2024-10-31
2024-09-301.641.780.14
2024-08-01
2024-06-301.951.980.03
2024-05-02
2024-03-312.042.03-0.01
2024-02-08
2023-12-312.172.40.2310 
2023-11-02
2023-09-302.092.160.07
2023-08-03
2023-06-301.961.84-0.12
2023-05-04
2023-03-312.072.380.3114 
2023-02-02
2022-12-312.882.71-0.17
2022-11-03
2022-09-303.443.60.16
2022-08-04
2022-06-303.853.910.06
2022-05-05
2022-03-313.173.270.1
2022-02-03
2021-12-312.192.270.08
2021-11-02
2021-09-301.521.770.2516 
2021-08-03
2021-06-301.131.270.1412 
2021-05-04
2021-03-310.540.690.1527 
2021-02-02
2020-12-31-0.25-0.190.0624 
2020-10-29
2020-09-30-0.31-0.310.0
2020-07-30
2020-06-30-0.58-0.92-0.3458 
2020-04-30
2020-03-310.170.450.28164 
2020-02-04
2019-12-310.810.76-0.05
2019-10-29
2019-09-300.740.820.0810 
2019-07-30
2019-06-301.031.01-0.02
2019-04-30
2019-03-310.91.00.111 
2019-01-31
2018-12-311.021.130.1110 
2018-10-25
2018-09-301.191.360.1714 
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.091.090.0
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.730.960.2331 
2018-02-01
2017-12-310.450.450.0
2017-10-26
2017-09-300.090.160.0777 
2017-07-27
2017-06-30-0.020.140.16800 
2017-05-04
2017-03-310.03-0.14-0.17566 
2017-02-02
2016-12-31-0.41-0.260.1536 
2016-10-27
2016-09-30-0.71-0.660.05
2016-07-28
2016-06-30-0.61-0.79-0.1829 
2016-04-28
2016-03-31-1.04-0.950.09
2016-02-04
2015-12-31-0.64-0.9-0.2640 
2015-10-29
2015-09-30-0.37-0.38-0.01
2015-07-30
2015-06-300.040.070.0375 
2015-04-30
2015-03-31-0.18-0.180.0
2015-01-29
2014-12-310.590.60.01
2014-10-30
2014-09-301.191.290.1
2014-07-31
2014-06-301.611.610.0
2014-05-01
2014-03-311.561.810.2516 
2014-01-30
2013-12-311.311.40.09
2013-10-31
2013-09-301.451.470.02
2013-08-01
2013-06-301.291.410.12
2013-04-25
2013-03-311.431.42-0.01
2013-01-30
2012-12-311.471.43-0.04
2012-10-25
2012-09-301.21.440.2420 
2012-07-25
2012-06-301.251.22-0.03
2012-04-23
2012-03-312.062.02-0.04
2012-01-25
2011-12-311.792.020.2312 
2011-10-26
2011-09-302.152.520.3717 
2011-07-27
2011-06-302.182.410.2310 
2011-04-27
2011-03-311.91.82-0.08
2011-01-26
2010-12-311.351.32-0.03
2010-10-27
2010-09-301.461.50.04
2010-07-28
2010-06-301.561.670.11
2010-04-29
2010-03-311.331.470.1410 
2010-01-27
2009-12-311.121.160.04
2009-10-28
2009-09-300.941.00.06
2009-07-29
2009-06-300.860.970.1112 
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.390.50.1128 
2009-01-28
2008-12-311.341.28-0.06
2008-10-22
2008-09-303.083.320.24
2008-07-23
2008-06-303.533.5-0.03
2008-04-24
2008-03-312.412.520.11
2008-01-23
2007-12-312.412.480.07
2007-10-24
2007-09-302.191.94-0.2511 
2007-07-25
2007-06-302.682.90.22
2007-04-25
2007-03-311.931.83-0.1
2007-01-24
2006-12-311.992.10.11
2006-10-25
2006-09-302.372.680.3113 
2006-07-26
2006-06-302.792.830.04
2006-04-26
2006-03-312.352.34-0.01
2006-01-25
2005-12-312.652.690.04
2005-10-26
2005-09-302.462.680.22
2005-07-27
2005-06-3022.210.2110 
2005-04-27
2005-03-311.652.060.4124 
2005-01-26
2004-12-311.551.760.2113 
2004-10-27
2004-09-301.281.440.1612 
2004-07-28
2004-06-301.441.440.0
2004-04-28
2004-03-310.981.160.1818 
2004-01-28
2003-12-310.710.720.01
2003-10-29
2003-09-300.80.910.1113 
2003-07-30
2003-06-300.720.790.07
2003-04-30
2003-03-310.850.940.0910 
2003-01-29
2002-12-310.560.55-0.01
2002-10-24
2002-09-300.460.470.01
2002-07-23
2002-06-300.510.48-0.03
2002-04-25
2002-03-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
2002-01-24
2001-12-310.330.3-0.03
2001-10-24
2001-09-300.650.680.03
2001-07-26
2001-06-300.951.170.2223 
2001-04-30
2001-03-310.970.980.01
2001-01-25
2000-12-311.081.370.2926 
2000-10-26
2000-09-300.970.980.01
2000-07-27
2000-06-300.790.870.0810 
2000-04-27
2000-03-310.520.530.01
2000-01-24
1999-12-310.380.420.0410 
1999-10-28
1999-09-300.360.40.0411 
1999-07-27
1999-06-300.210.230.02
1999-01-26
1998-12-310.02-0.395-0.4152075 
1998-10-22
1998-09-300.160.13-0.0318 
1998-07-23
1998-06-300.280.30.02
1998-04-23
1998-03-310.290.330.0413 
1998-01-26
1997-12-310.380.40.02
1997-10-22
1997-09-300.460.470.01
1997-07-24
1997-06-300.390.410.02
1997-04-23
1997-03-310.480.47-0.01
1997-01-23
1996-12-310.490.48-0.01
1996-10-23
1996-09-300.390.40.01
1996-07-24
1996-06-300.410.420.01
1996-04-24
1996-03-310.320.40.0825 

Use ConocoPhillips in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ConocoPhillips position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ConocoPhillips will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

ConocoPhillips Pair Trading

ConocoPhillips Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to ConocoPhillips could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ConocoPhillips when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ConocoPhillips - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ConocoPhillips to buy it.
The correlation of ConocoPhillips is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ConocoPhillips moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ConocoPhillips moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ConocoPhillips can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your ConocoPhillips position

In addition to having ConocoPhillips in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis

When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.