Conocophillips Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| COP Stock | USD 106.10 5.65 5.06% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ConocoPhillips is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ConocoPhillips given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ConocoPhillips. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ConocoPhillips, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out ConocoPhillips Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in ConocoPhillips Stock, please use our How to Invest in ConocoPhillips guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ConocoPhillips and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ConocoPhillips. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
ConocoPhillips |
Execute ConocoPhillips Buy or Sell Advice
The ConocoPhillips recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ConocoPhillips. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ConocoPhillips or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ConocoPhillips' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
ConocoPhillips Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
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ConocoPhillips Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ConocoPhillips' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ConocoPhillips daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ConocoPhillips price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ConocoPhillips returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ConocoPhillips.
| Mean Return | 0.05 | Value At Risk | -3.24 | Potential Upside | 2.59 | Standard Deviation | 1.75 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ConocoPhillips historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ConocoPhillips Stock Institutional Investors
The ConocoPhillips' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase ConocoPhillips' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 16.2 M | Eagle Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 15.2 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 14.3 M | Harris Associates L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 13.6 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 12.5 M | Dodge & Cox | 2024-09-30 | 11.4 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 11.2 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 10.9 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 10.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 109.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 97 M |
ConocoPhillips Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (67M) | (25M) | (160M) | (38M) | (103M) | (97.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | (789M) | (2.0B) | 2.1B | 1.3B | (795M) | (755.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.5B | 87M | 11.7B | 18.2B | 8.7B | 9.2B | |
| Depreciation | 6.1B | 5.5B | 7.2B | 7.5B | 8.3B | 5.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (253M) | 1.4B | (502M) | 278M | 1.0B | 959.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.5B | 1.8B | 2.4B | 5.7B | 5.6B | 5.9B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.6B | 4.7B | 5.3B | 10.2B | 11.2B | 7.7B | |
| Net Income | 7.3B | (2.7B) | 8.1B | 18.7B | 10.9B | 11.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.4B | 3.3B | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.9B | 6.2B | |
| Investments | (2.8B) | (542M) | 3.1B | (8.7B) | (12B) | (11.4B) | |
| Change Receivables | 505M | 521M | (2.5B) | (963M) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.4B) | 118M | 428M | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
| Net Borrowings | (80M) | 46M | (505M) | (3.4B) | (3.0B) | (2.9B) |
ConocoPhillips Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ConocoPhillips or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ConocoPhillips' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ConocoPhillips stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
ConocoPhillips Volatility Alert
ConocoPhillips has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.62 and kurtosis of 2.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ConocoPhillips' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ConocoPhillips' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ConocoPhillips Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ConocoPhillips' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ConocoPhillips' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ConocoPhillips and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ConocoPhillips or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ConocoPhillips' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ConocoPhillips by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ConocoPhillips to competition |
| Fundamentals | ConocoPhillips | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.24 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 140.13 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.15 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.09 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.69 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 22.36 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.58 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 57.86 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 39.6 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 25.78 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 10.92 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.46 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.36 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 19.63 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.34 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 43.34 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 19.96 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.95 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 8.43 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 8.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 132.39 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.22 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 128.61 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 95.92 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 59.27 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.33 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 3865 shares by Obrien Andrew M. of ConocoPhillips subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
ConocoPhillips Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ConocoPhillips . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.3 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.88) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 108.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 107.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.65) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.09 |
About ConocoPhillips Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ConocoPhillips? Buying financial instruments such as ConocoPhillips Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis
When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.