GDEV EBITDA vs. Target Price

GDEV Stock  USD 14.60  0.40  2.67%   
Based on GDEV's profitability indicators, GDEV Inc is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in February. Profitability indicators assess GDEV's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
EBITDA  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
42.2 M
Current Value
44.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
43.2 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, GDEV's Days Sales Outstanding is fairly stable compared to the past year. Days Of Sales Outstanding is likely to climb to 50.55 in 2026, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.91 in 2026. At this time, GDEV's Net Income Per E B T is fairly stable compared to the past year. At this time, GDEV's Pretax Profit Margin is fairly stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is likely to climb to 0.09 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 256.9 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.50.6
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For GDEV profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of GDEV to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well GDEV Inc utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between GDEV's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of GDEV Inc over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

GDEV's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis.
The next projected EPS of GDEV is estimated to be 0.94625 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.91 to a high of 0.9825. GDEV's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.56. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for GDEV Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
GDEV is projected to generate 0.94625 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. GDEV earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected GDEV Inc EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on GDEV's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as GDEV, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

GDEV Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing GDEV's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across GDEV's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GDEV. If investors know GDEV will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GDEV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.671
Earnings Share
2.56
Revenue Per Share
22.736
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.1666
The market value of GDEV Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GDEV that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GDEV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GDEV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GDEV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GDEV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GDEV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GDEV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GDEV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GDEV Inc Target Price vs. EBITDA Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining GDEV's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare GDEV value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
GDEV Inc is one of the top stocks in ebitda category among its peers. It is currently under evaluation in target price category among its peers . At this time, GDEV's EBITDA is fairly stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value GDEV by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

GDEV Target Price vs. EBITDA

EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is a measure of a company operating cash flow based on data from the company income statement and is a very good way to compare companies within industries or across different sectors. However, unlike Operating Cash Flow, EBITDA does not include the effects of changes in working capital.

GDEV

EBITDA

 = 

Revenue

-

Basic Expenses

 = 
36.65 M
In a nutshell, EBITDA is calculated by adding back each of the excluded items to the post-tax profit, and can be used to compare companies with very different capital structures.

GDEV

 = 
70.0

GDEV Target Price Comparison

GDEV is currently under evaluation in target price category among its peers.

GDEV Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in GDEV, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, GDEV will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of GDEV's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of GDEV, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income6.8 M6.4 M
Net Interest Income2.1 M2.4 M
Operating Income46.6 M48.9 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops29.4 M30.8 M
Income Before Tax34.5 M36.3 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-9.4 M-8.9 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares8.4 M8.8 M
Net Income29.4 M30.8 M
Income Tax Expense5.2 M2.6 M
Interest Income2.1 M3.1 M
Change To Netincome129.2 M65.5 M
Net Income Per Share 1.26  1.33 
Income Quality 1.01  1.06 
Net Income Per E B T 0.76  0.80 

GDEV Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on GDEV. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of GDEV position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the GDEV's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

GDEV Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of GDEV's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of GDEV is estimated to be 0.94625 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.91 to a high of 0.9825. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for GDEV Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.32
0.91
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.94625
0.98
Highest

GDEV Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of GDEV's value are higher than the current market price of the GDEV stock. In this case, investors may conclude that GDEV is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and GDEV's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
245.57%
1.32
0.94625
2.56

GDEV Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by GDEV Inc analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge GDEV's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only GDEV's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

GDEV Quarterly Gross Profit

62.53 Million

At this time, GDEV's Earnings Yield is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to climb to 13.03 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop (234.9 M) in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 8.8 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 20.9 M in 2026.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDEV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.9514.4121.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5028.6236.08
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
63.7070.0077.70
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.910.950.98
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of GDEV assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards GDEV. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving GDEV's stock price in the short term.

GDEV Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of GDEV refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering GDEV Inc predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of GDEV, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

GDEV Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as GDEV, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of GDEV should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

GDEV Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact GDEV's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-11-24
2025-09-300.4151.320.905218 
2025-09-02
2025-06-300.2550.90.645252 
2025-03-31
2025-03-310.1750.770.595340 
2025-03-31
2024-12-31-0.1-0.13-0.0330 
2024-11-13
2024-09-300.370.790.42113 
2024-09-18
2024-06-300.020.810.793950 
2024-05-28
2024-03-31-0.01-0.010.0
2024-03-19
2023-12-310.050.0550.00510 
2023-11-22
2023-09-3000.12050.1205
2023-08-03
2023-06-300-0.0416-0.0416
2023-03-29
2022-12-310-0.5092-0.5092
2022-12-06
2022-09-3000.15760.1576
2020-11-10
2020-09-300-0.01-0.01
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Use GDEV in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if GDEV position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in GDEV will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

GDEV Pair Trading

GDEV Inc Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to GDEV could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace GDEV when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back GDEV - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling GDEV Inc to buy it.
The correlation of GDEV is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as GDEV moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if GDEV Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for GDEV can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your GDEV position

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Marijuana Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for GDEV Stock Analysis

When running GDEV's price analysis, check to measure GDEV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDEV is operating at the current time. Most of GDEV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDEV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDEV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDEV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.