Green Plains Number Of Shares Shorted vs. Current Valuation

GPRE Stock  USD 10.80  0.02  0.18%   
Based on Green Plains' profitability indicators, Green Plains Renewable may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of underperforming in December. Profitability indicators assess Green Plains' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders. At present, Green Plains' Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. As of November 29, 2024, Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is expected to decline to about (3.3 M). The current year's Operating Income is expected to grow to about (58.5 M).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.06740.05
Significantly Up
Very volatile
For Green Plains profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Green Plains to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Green Plains Renewable utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Green Plains's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Green Plains Renewable over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.977
Earnings Share
(0.31)
Revenue Per Share
41.372
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Green Plains Renewable is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Green Plains Renewable Current Valuation vs. Number Of Shares Shorted Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Green Plains's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Green Plains value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Green Plains Renewable is one of the top stocks in number of shares shorted category among its peers. It also is rated as one of the top companies in current valuation category among its peers reporting about  168.90  of Current Valuation per Number Of Shares Shorted. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Green Plains by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Green Current Valuation vs. Number Of Shares Shorted

Number of Shares Shorted is the total amount of shares that are currently sold short by investors. When a stock is sold short, the short seller assumes the responsibility of repurchasing the stock at a lower price. The speculator will make money if the stock goes down in price or will experience a loss if the stock price goes up.

Green Plains

Shares Shorted

 = 

Shorted by Public

+

by Institutions

 = 
6.44 M
If a large number of investors decide to short sell an equity instrument within a small period of time, their combined action can significantly affect the price of the stock.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Green Plains

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
1.09 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Green Current Valuation vs Competition

Green Plains Renewable is rated as one of the top companies in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Energy industry is currently estimated at about 29.34 Billion. Green Plains holds roughly 1.09 Billion in current valuation claiming about 4% of equities under Energy industry.

Green Plains Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Green Plains, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Green Plains will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Green Plains' change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Green Plains, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-3.2 M-3.3 M
Operating Income-61.6 M-58.5 M
Income Before Tax-82.3 M-78.2 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-20.8 M-19.7 M
Net Loss-76.3 M-72.5 M
Income Tax Expense-5.6 M-5.3 M
Net Loss-114.5 M-108.8 M
Net Loss-120.6 M-114.6 M
Non Operating Income Net Other-764.8 K-726.5 K
Interest Income11 MM
Net Interest Income-24.4 M-25.7 M
Change To Netincome57.4 M38.3 M
Net Loss(1.59)(1.51)
Income Quality(0.74)(0.70)
Net Income Per E B T 1.13  0.69 

Green Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Green Plains. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Green Plains position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Green Plains' important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Green Plains in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Green Plains position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Green Plains will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Green Plains Pair Trading

Green Plains Renewable Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Green Plains could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Green Plains when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Green Plains - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Green Plains Renewable to buy it.
The correlation of Green Plains is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Green Plains moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Green Plains Renewable moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Green Plains can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Green Plains position

In addition to having Green Plains in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Trading
Trading Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Trading theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Trading Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Green Plains Renewable is a strong investment it is important to analyze Green Plains' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Green Plains' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Green Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
To fully project Green Plains' future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Green Plains Renewable at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Green Plains' income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Green Plains investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Green Plains investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Green Plains's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Green Plains's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.