Tillys Profitability Analysis

TLYS Stock  USD 3.78  0.11  3.00%   
Based on Tillys' profitability indicators, Tillys Inc is performing exceptionally good at the moment. It has a great risk to showcase excellent profitability results in December. Profitability indicators assess Tillys' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2010-02-28
Previous Quarter
-19.6 M
Current Value
-69 K
Quarterly Volatility
7.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, Tillys' Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is likely to gain to 0.09 in 2024, whereas EV To Sales is likely to drop 0.65 in 2024. At this time, Tillys' Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Other Income Expense Net is likely to gain to about 1.9 M in 2024, despite the fact that Income Before Tax is likely to grow to (24.5 M).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.30.2659
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
For Tillys profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Tillys to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Tillys Inc utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Tillys's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Tillys Inc over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  

Tillys' Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tillys. If investors know Tillys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tillys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.97)
Earnings Share
(1.38)
Revenue Per Share
20.65
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.018
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Tillys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tillys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tillys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tillys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tillys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tillys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tillys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tillys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tillys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tillys Inc Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Tillys's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Tillys value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Tillys Inc is rated below average in return on equity category among its peers. It also is rated below average in return on asset category among its peers . At this time, Tillys' Return On Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Tillys by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Tillys Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

Tillys

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
-0.28
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

Tillys

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
-0.0284
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

Tillys Return On Asset Comparison

Tillys is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

Tillys Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Tillys, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Tillys will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Tillys' change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Tillys, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income323 K339.1 K
Operating Income-27.6 M-26.2 M
Income Before Tax-25.8 M-24.5 M
Total Other Income Expense Net1.8 M1.9 M
Net Loss-34.5 M-32.8 M
Income Tax Expense8.7 MM
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares22.6 M22.8 M
Net Loss-34.5 M-32.8 M
Non Operating Income Net Other3.3 M3.5 M
Change To Netincome-4.1 M-3.9 M
Net Income Per Share(1.16) 0.50 
Income Quality 0.20  3.43 
Net Income Per E B T 1.34  0.61 

Tillys Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Tillys. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Tillys position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Tillys' important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Tillys Profitability Trends

Tillys profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that Tillys' profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is Tillys' gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

Tillys Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between Tillys different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Tillys in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down Tillys' future profitability.

Use Tillys in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Tillys position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tillys will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Tillys Pair Trading

Tillys Inc Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Tillys could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Tillys when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Tillys - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Tillys Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Tillys is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Tillys moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Tillys Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Tillys can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Tillys position

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Aggressive Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
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Additional Tools for Tillys Stock Analysis

When running Tillys' price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.