Great Ajax Corp Stock Analysis

AJX Stock  USD 2.99  0.01  0.33%   
Great Ajax Corp is undervalued with Real Value of 4.7 and Target Price of 9.67. The main objective of Great Ajax stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Great Ajax Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Great Ajax's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Great Ajax stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Great Ajax is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Great Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Great Ajax Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Great Stock Analysis Notes

About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Great Ajax Corp recorded a loss per share of 3.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The firm had 473:457 split on the 16th of March 2020. Great Ajax Corp., real estate company, acquires, invests in, and manages a portfolio of residential mortgage and small balance commercial mortgage loans. Great Ajax Corp. was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Tigard, Oregon. Great Ajax operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. For more info on Great Ajax Corp please contact Michael Nierenberg at 503 505 5670 or go to https://www.greatajax.com.

Great Ajax Corp Investment Alerts

Great Ajax Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Great Ajax Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 62.68 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 26.91 M.
Great Ajax Corp has about 47.84 M in cash with (46.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27.
Great Ajax Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Wellington Management Group LLPs Strategic Acquisition in Great Ajax Corp

Great Ajax Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Great Ajax to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
7th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Great Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Great Ajax's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-04
2020-06-300.240.270.0312 
2019-03-05
2018-12-310.390.34-0.0512 
2022-03-03
2021-12-310.380.32-0.0615 
View All Earnings Estimates

Great Ajax Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Great Ajax's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Great Ajax's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Great Ajax's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Great Ajax's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Great Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Yakira Capital Management, Inc.2024-06-30
397.2 K
Family Management Corporation2024-09-30
358 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
322.7 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
106.2 K
Wiley Bros.-aintree Capital, Llc2024-06-30
100.6 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
99.2 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
98.6 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
75.1 K
Raffles Associates Lp2024-09-30
73.3 K
Magnetar Financial Llc2024-06-30
9.8 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
4.5 M
Note, although Great Ajax's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Great Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 139.44 M.

Great Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.03)
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.15)(0.14)

Management Efficiency

Great Ajax Corp has Return on Asset of (0.1052) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.1052. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (0.4124) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Great Ajax's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Great Ajax manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to rise to -0.03 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.01 in 2024. At this time, Great Ajax's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 545.9 M in 2024, whereas Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop slightly above 325.9 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 12.80  18.61 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 12.80  12.16 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 24.60  25.83 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.42  0.83 
Enterprise Value Multiple 24.60  25.83 
Price Fair Value 0.42  0.83 
Enterprise Value697.5 M594.8 M
Leadership at Great Ajax has been instrumental in navigating market challenges and seizing growth opportunities. Our analysis focuses on how these leadership qualities translate into financial performance.
Dividend Yield
0.0912
Operating Margin
2.8128
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0912
Beta
1.846
Return On Assets
(0.11)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Great Ajax retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), market risk adjusted performance of (0.22), and Standard Deviation of 2.15. Great Ajax technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Great Ajax Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Great Ajax middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Great Ajax Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Great Ajax Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Great Ajax insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Great Ajax's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Great Ajax insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Great Ajax Outstanding Bonds

Great Ajax issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Great Ajax Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Great bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Great Ajax Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Great Ajax Predictive Daily Indicators

Great Ajax intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Great Ajax stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Great Ajax Corporate Filings

13A
13th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
6th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
1st of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
24th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
21st of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
1st of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
6th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Great Ajax Forecast Models

Great Ajax's time-series forecasting models are one of many Great Ajax's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Great Ajax's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Great Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Great Ajax prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Great shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Great Ajax. By using and applying Great Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Great entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.75)(0.71)
Operating Profit Margin 0.56  0.53 
Net Loss(0.75)(0.71)
Gross Profit Margin 0.76  0.75 

Current Great Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Great analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Great analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.67Buy2Odds
Great Ajax Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Great analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Great stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Great Ajax Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Great conference calls.
Great Analyst Advice Details

Great Stock Analysis Indicators

Great Ajax Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Great Ajax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Great Ajax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Great Ajax stock analysis, traders can identify Great Ajax position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow47.8 M
Long Term Debt621.6 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity308.9 M
Tax Provision406 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.5
Cash And Short Term Investments52.8 M
Cash52.8 M
Net Debt568.7 M
50 Day M A3.2588
Total Current LiabilitiesM
Other Operating Expenses29.7 M
Non Current Assets Total323.4 M
Forward Price Earnings6.5746
Non Currrent Assets Other-323.4 M
Stock Based Compensation1.5 M

Additional Tools for Great Stock Analysis

When running Great Ajax's price analysis, check to measure Great Ajax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Ajax is operating at the current time. Most of Great Ajax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Ajax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Ajax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Ajax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.