Avadel Pharmaceuticals Plc Stock Analysis

AVDL Stock  USD 11.22  0.44  3.77%   
Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC is undervalued with Real Value of 12.94 and Target Price of 19.89. The main objective of Avadel Pharmaceuticals stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Avadel Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Avadel Pharmaceuticals stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Avadel Stock Analysis Notes

About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.07. Avadel Pharmaceuticals recorded a loss per share of 1.09. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc operates as a biopharmaceutical company in the United States. Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. Avadel Pharmaceuticals is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States. For more info on Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC please contact the company at 353 1 901 5201 or go to https://www.avadel.com.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Investment Alerts

Avadel Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avadel Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (160.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.59 M.
Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC currently holds about 104.12 M in cash with (128.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.74.
Avadel Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC Shares Up 3 percent on Nov 22

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Upcoming and Recent Events

4th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of April 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Avadel Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Avadel Pharmaceuticals' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-08-08
2024-06-30-0.16-0.140.0212 
1999-02-23
1998-12-31-0.1-0.12-0.0220 
2024-11-06
2024-09-30-0.05-0.02730.022745 
View All Earnings Estimates

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Avadel Pharmaceuticals' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Avadel Pharmaceuticals' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Avadel Pharmaceuticals' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Avadel Pharmaceuticals' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Avadel Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Tri Locum Partners Lp2024-09-30
1.7 M
Woodline Partners Lp2024-06-30
1.5 M
Brandes Investment Partners & Co2024-09-30
1.4 M
Tang Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
1.1 M
Checkpoint Capital Lp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-06-30
994.7 K
Samsara Biocapital, Llc2024-09-30
967.5 K
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
13.3 M
Polar Capital Holdings Plc2024-06-30
6.6 M
Note, although Avadel Pharmaceuticals' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Avadel Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.27 B.

Avadel Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.12) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.31) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.31.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.08)(1.03)
Return On Capital Employed(1.08)(1.02)
Return On Assets(0.97)(0.92)
Return On Equity(1.83)(1.92)

Management Efficiency

Avadel Pharmaceuticals has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.3445) % which means that it has lost $0.3445 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.9952) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Avadel Pharmaceuticals' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Avadel Pharmaceuticals manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -1.03 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -1.02 this year. At this time, Avadel Pharmaceuticals' Non Current Assets Total are quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 8.17 this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 134.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.09  1.77 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.88  1.28 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(7.62)(8.00)
Price Book Value Ratio 12.90  13.55 
Enterprise Value Multiple(7.62)(8.00)
Price Fair Value 12.90  13.55 
Enterprise Value388.4 M201.8 M
Management at Avadel Pharmaceuticals focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Operating Margin
(0.31)
Profit Margin
(1.12)
Beta
1.632
Return On Assets
(0.34)
Return On Equity
(1.00)

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Avadel Pharmaceuticals shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 2.42. Avadel Pharmaceuticals technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Avadel Pharmaceuticals standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Avadel Pharmaceuticals is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 11.22 per share. Given that Avadel Pharmaceuticals has information ratio of (0.12), we suggest you to validate Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Avadel Pharmaceuticals middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Avadel Pharmaceuticals. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Avadel Pharmaceuticals insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Avadel Pharmaceuticals' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Avadel Pharmaceuticals insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Outstanding Bonds

Avadel Pharmaceuticals issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Avadel Pharmaceuticals uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Avadel bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Predictive Daily Indicators

Avadel Pharmaceuticals intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Avadel Pharmaceuticals stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
8K
31st of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
24th of October 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
8K
17th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
16th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Forecast Models

Avadel Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models are one of many Avadel Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Avadel Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Avadel Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Avadel Pharmaceuticals prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Avadel shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Avadel Pharmaceuticals. By using and applying Avadel Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Avadel entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(6.61)(6.28)
Operating Profit Margin(5.67)(5.39)
Net Loss(6.59)(6.26)
Gross Profit Margin 0.87  0.65 

Current Avadel Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Avadel analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Avadel analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
19.89Strong Buy10Odds
Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Avadel analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Avadel stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Avadel Pharmaceuticals, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Avadel conference calls.
Avadel Analyst Advice Details

Avadel Stock Analysis Indicators

Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Avadel Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Avadel Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Avadel Pharmaceuticals stock analysis, traders can identify Avadel Pharmaceuticals position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow74 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity87.7 M
Tax Provision-501 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments105.1 M
Cash31.2 M
Accounts Payable11.4 M
Net Debt4.2 M
50 Day M A13.672
Total Current Liabilities36.9 M
Other Operating Expenses165.8 M
Non Current Assets Total30.5 M
Forward Price Earnings17.3913
Non Currrent Assets Other10.5 M
Stock Based Compensation15.8 M
When determining whether Avadel Pharmaceuticals is a strong investment it is important to analyze Avadel Pharmaceuticals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Avadel Pharmaceuticals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Avadel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avadel Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Avadel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avadel Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.09)
Revenue Per Share
1.036
Quarterly Revenue Growth
26.743
Return On Assets
(0.34)
Return On Equity
(1.00)
The market value of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avadel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avadel Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avadel Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avadel Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avadel Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avadel Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avadel Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avadel Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.