Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Analysis

BAER Stock   2.70  0.12  4.26%   
Bridger Aerospace Group is overvalued with Real Value of 2.28 and Target Price of 5.25. The main objective of Bridger Aerospace stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Bridger Aerospace Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Bridger Aerospace's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Bridger Aerospace stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Bridger Aerospace is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Bridger Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Bridger Aerospace Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Bridger Stock Analysis Notes

About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.47. Bridger Aerospace had not issued any dividends in recent years. For more info on Bridger Aerospace Group please contact Timothy Sheehy at 406 813 0079 or go to https://www.bridgeraerospace.com.

Bridger Aerospace Quarterly Total Revenue

64.51 Million

Bridger Aerospace Investment Alerts

Bridger Aerospace had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bridger Aerospace has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.5 M.
Bridger Aerospace generates negative cash flow from operations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Bridger Aerospace Group Issues Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By 0.15 EPS

Bridger Aerospace Upcoming and Recent Events

18th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Bridger Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Bridger Aerospace's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-08-12
2024-06-30-0.25-0.33-0.0832 
2024-11-11
2024-09-300.460.31-0.1532 
View All Earnings Estimates

Bridger Aerospace Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Bridger Aerospace's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Bridger Aerospace's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Bridger Aerospace's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Bridger Aerospace's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Bridger Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 195.12 M.

Bridger Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.4) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.51 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.51.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.31)
Return On Capital Employed(0.23)(0.22)
Return On Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Equity(2.87)(2.73)

Management Efficiency

As of 11/22/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.31. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.22. At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Total Current Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Intangible Assets is likely to grow to about 2.1 M, though Net Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (355.9 M). Bridger Aerospace's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Bridger Aerospace manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.59  0.57 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.27  0.25 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(11.61)(12.19)
Price Book Value Ratio 11.62  5.97 
Enterprise Value Multiple(11.61)(12.19)
Price Fair Value 11.62  5.97 
Enterprise Value504.5 M408 M
Bridger Aerospace Group benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.5095
Profit Margin
(0.40)
Beta
(0.29)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.56)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Bridger Aerospace shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0185, downside deviation of 6.61, and Mean Deviation of 5.59. Bridger Aerospace technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Bridger Aerospace variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Bridger Aerospace is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.7 per share. Please also double-check Bridger Aerospace Group total risk alpha, which is currently at (1.07) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Bridger Aerospace Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Bridger Aerospace middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Bridger Aerospace. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Bridger Aerospace Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Bridger Aerospace insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Bridger Aerospace's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Bridger Aerospace insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Coleman Debra over three weeks ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Coleman Debra of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sam Davis over two months ago
Disposition of 2399 shares by Sam Davis of Bridger Aerospace at 2.64 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sam Davis over two months ago
Disposition of 19323 shares by Sam Davis of Bridger Aerospace at 2.56 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Blackstone Holdings Ii L.p. over two months ago
Discretionary transaction by Blackstone Holdings Ii L.p. of tradable shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelter Jeffrey E over three months ago
Acquisition by Kelter Jeffrey E of 527800 shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sheehy Matthew over three months ago
Discretionary transaction by Sheehy Matthew of tradable shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Rudisill Mcandrew over three months ago
Disposition of 3024696 shares by Rudisill Mcandrew of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Savage Robert F Jr over three months ago
Acquisition by Savage Robert F Jr of 2350000 shares of Bridger Aerospace at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelter Jeffrey E over six months ago
Acquisition by Kelter Jeffrey E of 202020 shares of Bridger Aerospace at 4.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Blackstone Holdings Ii L.p. over six months ago
Discretionary transaction by Blackstone Holdings Ii L.p. of tradable shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fascitelli Elizabeth C over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jcic Sponsor Llc over six months ago
Acquisition or disposition of Bridger Aerospace securities by Jcic Sponsor Llc

Bridger Aerospace Predictive Daily Indicators

Bridger Aerospace intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Bridger Aerospace stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Bridger Aerospace Corporate Filings

13A
15th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
13th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
18th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
13th of August 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F3
12th of August 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
31st of July 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
18th of July 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Bridger Aerospace Forecast Models

Bridger Aerospace's time-series forecasting models are one of many Bridger Aerospace's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bridger Aerospace's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Bridger Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Bridger Aerospace prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Bridger shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Bridger Aerospace. By using and applying Bridger Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Bridger entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(1.16)(1.22)
Operating Profit Margin(0.86)(0.90)
Net Loss(1.16)(1.22)
Gross Profit Margin 0.38  0.20 

Current Bridger Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Bridger analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Bridger analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.25Strong Buy1Odds
Bridger Aerospace Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Bridger analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Bridger stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Bridger Aerospace, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Bridger conference calls.
Bridger Analyst Advice Details

Bridger Stock Analysis Indicators

Bridger Aerospace Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Bridger Aerospace stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Bridger Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Bridger Aerospace stock analysis, traders can identify Bridger Aerospace position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow42.5 M
Long Term Debt204.6 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity26.9 M
Tax Provision-302 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.067
Property Plant And Equipment Net196.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.9 M
Cash36.9 M
Accounts PayableM
Net Debt177.7 M
50 Day M A2.6705
Total Current Liabilities25.4 M
Other Operating Expenses124.2 M
Non Current Assets Total228.3 M
Non Currrent Assets Other16.8 M
Stock Based Compensation47.8 M

Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.