Collective Mining Stock Analysis
| CNL Stock | 18.05 0.59 3.38% |
200 Day MA 14.38 | 50 Day MA 17.82 | Beta 1.02 |
Macro event markers
At the current market price of $18.05, CNL trades below the analyst target price of $25.0. The starting point for CNL is whether the market price reflects the underlying business economics. CNL reports negative return on equity, directing analytical focus toward capital allocation efficiency and the trajectory of shareholder value.
CNL holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 relative to materials peers. Using the latest reported data from December 31, 2025, Net Debt remains stable near $-127.79 million, meaning cash and equivalents exceed total debt - leverage is not a constraint, although Net Debt To EBITDA is broadly unchanged around 2.64x. Collective Mining's debt maturity schedule determines whether current leverage levels face near-term refinancing pressure. Interest expense as a percentage of revenue tracks how much of the top line is consumed by debt service. Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Price Book 11.65 | Book Value 1.57 | Enterprise Value | Shares Float 49.83 million | Shares Outstanding |
Collective Mining (CNL) recorded a net loss of $49.9 million, an operating loss of $39.9 million, and $93 thousand in Cost Of Revenue.
Collective |
Stock Analysis Notes
About 42.0% of CNL shares are held by company insiders. CNL reported a loss per share of 0.58. Collective Mining had its last dividend issued on the February 4, 2016. CNL completed a 0.250-for-1 stock split on 16th of July 2024. Collective Mining (CNL) recorded $158.0 million in Total Assets, Return On Tangible Assets close to -33.0%, and $448.9 million in Current Assets.Interest Expense | $667,475 |
Investor Insights and Alerts
| Collective Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was -$49.86 million with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of . | |
| Latest reporting shows about $93.7 million in cash alongside -$35.88 million of negative cash flow from operations. Cash per share is 3.28. | |
| About 42.0% of CNL shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Critical Metals Valuation After Greenland Approval Lifts Tanbreez Ownership To 92.5 |
Largest EPS Surprises
Tracking Collective Mining's earnings surprise history reveals whether the company consistently guides conservatively or tends to miss. Both patterns carry distinct implications for short-term positioning. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-08-16 | 2024-06-30 | -0.075 | -0.09 | -0.015 | 20 | ||
2025-11-12 | 2025-09-30 | -0.11 | -0.13 | -0.02 | 18 | ||
2025-08-19 | 2025-06-30 | -0.09 | -0.11 | -0.02 | 22 |
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
ESG analysis for Collective Mining goes beyond values-based screening. It highlights practices with real financial consequences. Trend direction often matters more than one isolated ESG reading taken out of context.
Market Capitalization
Market cap of $1.62 billion puts the company in the mid-cap segment relative to diversified metals & mining companies. Associated metrics include a workforce of about 154 people, about 92.58 million shares outstanding, and enterprise value near $1.56 billion.Profitability
Profitability metrics test whether Collective Mining is building real earning power or just reporting one-time accounting gains. At small-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Return on assets, return on equity, and cash flow deserve as much focus as earnings per share.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | -0.32 | -0.33 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | -0.28 | -0.3 | |
| Return On Assets | -32.00% | -33.00% | |
| Return On Equity | -34.00% | -36.00% |
Management Efficiency
CNL has Return on Asset of -26.17% indicating that the asset base is producing a negative return. Negative, reflecting losses at the reported level. Collective Mining also reports a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of -54.75%, meaning that it produced losses on money invested by shareholders.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.7 | 1.62 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 1.7 | 1.62 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 8.58x | 9.01x | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | -23.11x | -21.95x | |
| Price Fair Value | 8.58x | 9.01x | |
| Enterprise Value | $1.12 billion | $1.11 billion |
A leadership review of Collective Mining should test whether management is creating repeatable operating progress instead of relying on one-time gains or favorable cycle conditions. This analysis evaluates whether leadership is improving the economics of the business in ways that can persist once the operating environment deteriorates.
Three Month Return 10.26 | Short Long Term Debt Total | Three Year Return 551.62 | Expected Return 0.26 | Beta 1.02 |
Technical Drivers
According to pricing data from the 13th of May 2026, Collective Mining trades at 18.05 per share. Quantitative signals reflect Downside Deviation of 4.37, risk adjusted performance of 0.0586, and Mean Deviation of 3.69. Volume-adjusted indicators are evaluated relative to historical ranges. Current technical readings are benchmarked against historical volatility and peer trading behavior.Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands
This analysis covers sixty data points across the selected time horizon. The Extended Parabolic SAR indicator is used to determine the direction of Collective Mining's momentum and the point in time when it has higher than normal probability of directional change. It has more input parameters than standard Parabolic SAR indicator.
Insider Trading Activities
The analytical value in Collective Mining's insider filings lies in transaction clustering, trade size, and timing relative to price movements rather than any single filing. At small-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. These records work best as context, not as standalone buy-or-sell signals.
Outstanding Bonds
Outstanding bonds linked to Collective Mining can tell investors a great deal about how the company finances itself beyond common equity markets. Longer-dated obligations can improve financing stability, but they also leave investors more exposed if the underlying business weakens before the debt matures.
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View |
Predictive Daily Indicators
Daily signals in Collective Mining help active traders track momentum, reversals, and volume pressure during the session. The best setups combine these signals with strict risk limits, since short-term data can reverse fast when liquidity thins.
Corporate Filings
6K | 6th of May 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | |
6K | 5th of May 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | |
6K | 23rd of April 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | |
6K | 14th of April 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | |
6K | 13th of April 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | |
| 31st of March 2026 Other Reports | ||
6K | 30th of March 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | |
6K | 20th of March 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. |
Forecast Models
Quantitative tools for Collective Mining focus on observed patterns, which helps when markets move faster than research can update. Financial data rarely stays stable for long, so the model is best used as a probability tool, not a price promise.Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators
Collective Mining financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Collective Mining has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Collective Mining's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 5 | Healthy | View |
| Beneish M Score | -4.68 | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Debt to Cash Allocation
Tracking debt and cash allocation over time can show when Collective Mining is prioritizing expansion, refinancing, or capital return.
Total debt stands at approximately $1.86 million with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.77. Collective Mining has a current ratio of 1.78, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Collective to fund expansion initiatives, though the impact on returns depends on execution and market conditions. Total Assets Over Time
Assets Financed by Debt
Debt finances 1.12% of CNL's total assets — a relatively low share of the asset base, though leverage can still appear elevated relative to peers when measured against equity rather than total assets.Collective Mining Debt Ratio | 1.12 |
Corporate Bonds Issued
Collective Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total | $1.77 million |
Stock Analysis Methodology
Where does Collective Mining stand on valuation, profitability, and risk? This diagnostic breaks down the key signals. Balance sheet indicators include debt-to-equity of 0.77 and current ratio of 1.82. A beta of 2.5088 indicates amplified sensitivity to market swings.
Collective Mining metrics draw on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, standardized for cross-period comparison.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Current Collective Analyst Rating Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 25.0 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Multiple research sources contribute to the analyst recommendation summary for Collective Mining. Consensus averages are included alongside the recommendation view. Most Collective analysts issue ratings four times a year at intervals of three months. These consensus estimates reflect the collective view of professional researchers monitoring Collective's financials. The timing of analyst rating changes for Collective Mining matters as much as the direction of the revision.
Collective Stock Analysis Indicators
Diagnostics snapshot includes 14 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Common Stock Shares Outstanding, Total Stockholder Equity.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 38.93 million | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.32 million | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 145.13 million | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -14.66 million | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 22.84 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.65 million | |
| Cash | 129.65 million | |
| Net Debt | -127.79 million | |
| 50 Day M A | 17.8248 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 8.66 million | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 42.01 million | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 26.79 million | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 3.89 million | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 2.79 million |