Hovnanian Enterprises Stock Analysis

HOV Stock  USD 175.38  3.43  1.99%   
Hovnanian Enterprises is overvalued with Real Value of 87.16 and Target Price of 27.0. The main objective of Hovnanian Enterprises stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Hovnanian Enterprises is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Hovnanian Enterprises' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Hovnanian Enterprises stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Hovnanian Enterprises is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Hovnanian Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hovnanian Enterprises. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Hovnanian Stock please use our How to Invest in Hovnanian Enterprises guide.

Hovnanian Stock Analysis Notes

About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hovnanian Enterprises has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.22. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 32.05. The firm last dividend was issued on the 29th of March 2019. Hovnanian Enterprises had 1:25 split on the 29th of March 2019. Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. engages in the design, construction, marketing, and sale of residential homes in the United States. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Matawan, New Jersey. Hovnanian Enterprises operates under Residential Construction classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1784 people. To learn more about Hovnanian Enterprises call Ara Hovnanian at 732 747 7800 or check out https://www.khov.com.

Hovnanian Enterprises Quarterly Total Revenue

722.7 Million

Hovnanian Enterprises Investment Alerts

Hovnanian Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hovnanian Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Hovnanian Enterprises is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hovnanian Enterprises Announces Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Hovnanian Enterprises Upcoming and Recent Events

27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Hovnanian Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Hovnanian Enterprises' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-09-07
2017-07-31-0.18-0.25-0.0738 
2017-06-02
2017-04-30-0.87-1.0-0.1314 
2018-06-07
2018-04-30-1.12-1.4-0.2825 
View All Earnings Estimates

Hovnanian Enterprises Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Hovnanian Enterprises' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Hovnanian Enterprises' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Hovnanian Enterprises' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Hovnanian Enterprises' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Hovnanian Enterprises Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Hovnanian Enterprises stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Aggressive Defence Idea
Aggressive Defence
Small capitalization, high growth potential companies
Construction Idea
Construction
USA Equities from Construction industry as classified by Fama & French

Hovnanian Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
91.7 K
Philadelphia Financial Mgmt Of San Franc2024-09-30
85.4 K
Brightline Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
81 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
67.2 K
Ubs Group Ag
62.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
62.1 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-09-30
52.8 K
Awh Capital, L.p.2024-09-30
52.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
50 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
384.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
331.5 K
Note, although Hovnanian Enterprises' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hovnanian Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.04 B.

Hovnanian Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.08 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.07 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.07 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.32  0.33 

Management Efficiency

Hovnanian Enterprises has Return on Asset of 0.0702 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0702 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.4131 %, implying that it generated $0.4131 on every 100 dollars invested. Hovnanian Enterprises' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Hovnanian Enterprises manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to climb to 0.09 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to climb to 0.18 in 2024. At this time, Hovnanian Enterprises' Non Current Assets Total are fairly stable compared to the past year. Other Current Assets is likely to climb to about 259.8 M in 2024, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to drop slightly above 121.1 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 107.39  116.62 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 145.55  107.58 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 3.62  3.44 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.86  0.80 
Enterprise Value Multiple 3.62  3.44 
Price Fair Value 0.86  0.80 
Enterprise Value1.5 B746.2 M
The management team at Hovnanian Enterprises has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
0.0695
Profit Margin
0.0841
Beta
2.607
Return On Assets
0.0702
Return On Equity
0.4131

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Hovnanian Enterprises retains the Standard Deviation of 3.56, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.21). Hovnanian Enterprises technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Hovnanian Enterprises risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and kurtosis to decide if Hovnanian Enterprises is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 175.38 per share. Given that Hovnanian Enterprises has information ratio of (0.09), we strongly advise you to confirm Hovnanian Enterprises's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Hovnanian Enterprises Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Hovnanian Enterprises middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Hovnanian Enterprises. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Hovnanian Enterprises Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Hovnanian Enterprises insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Hovnanian Enterprises' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Hovnanian Enterprises insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Ara Hovnanian over a month ago
Disposition of 471 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 222.8299 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over a month ago
Disposition of 783 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 196.7323 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Edward Kangas over a month ago
Disposition of 800 shares by Edward Kangas of Hovnanian Enterprises at 189.4631 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over a month ago
Disposition of 300 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 201.915 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robin Sellers over two months ago
Acquisition by Robin Sellers of 881 shares of Hovnanian Enterprises subject to Rule 16b-3
 
J Sorsby over two months ago
Disposition of 3202 shares by J Sorsby of Hovnanian Enterprises at 225.1995 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over two months ago
Disposition of 4415 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 220.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
J Sorsby over two months ago
Acquisition by J Sorsby of 14569 shares of Hovnanian Enterprises subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over two months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 220.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over three months ago
Disposition of 5850 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 153.446 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over three months ago
Disposition of 21341 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 140.3686 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ara Hovnanian over three months ago
Disposition of 2283 shares by Ara Hovnanian of Hovnanian Enterprises at 140.2158 subject to Rule 16b-3

Hovnanian Enterprises Outstanding Bonds

Hovnanian Enterprises issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Hovnanian Enterprises uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Hovnanian bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Hovnanian Enterprises has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Hovnanian Enterprises Predictive Daily Indicators

Hovnanian Enterprises intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Hovnanian Enterprises stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Hovnanian Enterprises Corporate Filings

13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
16th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
1st of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
30th of September 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
25th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
23rd of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Hovnanian Enterprises Forecast Models

Hovnanian Enterprises' time-series forecasting models are one of many Hovnanian Enterprises' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hovnanian Enterprises' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Hovnanian Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Hovnanian Enterprises prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Hovnanian shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Hovnanian Enterprises. By using and applying Hovnanian Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Hovnanian entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.24  0.17 

Current Hovnanian Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Hovnanian analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Hovnanian analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
27.0Strong Sell0Odds
Hovnanian Enterprises current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Hovnanian analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Hovnanian stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Hovnanian Enterprises, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Hovnanian conference calls.
Hovnanian Analyst Advice Details

Hovnanian Stock Analysis Indicators

Hovnanian Enterprises stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Hovnanian Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Hovnanian Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Hovnanian Enterprises stock analysis, traders can identify Hovnanian Enterprises position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow382.2 M
Long Term Debt1.1 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity581.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-78.2 M
Tax Provision50.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.32
Property Plant And Equipment Net59.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments434.1 M
Cash434.1 M
Accounts Payable387.1 M
Net Debt708.9 M
50 Day M A191.9092
Total Current Liabilities537.1 M
Other Operating Expenses2.5 B
Non Current Assets Total673.2 M
Forward Price Earnings4.4643
Non Currrent Assets Other212.8 M
Stock Based Compensation14.2 M

Additional Tools for Hovnanian Stock Analysis

When running Hovnanian Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Hovnanian Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hovnanian Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Hovnanian Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hovnanian Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hovnanian Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hovnanian Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.