Theriva Biologics Stock Analysis

TOVX Stock  USD 1.28  0.02  1.59%   
Theriva Biologics is undervalued with Real Value of 2.07 and Target Price of 4.5. The main objective of Theriva Biologics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Theriva Biologics is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Theriva Biologics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Theriva Biologics stock is traded in the USA on NYSE MKT Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Theriva Biologics is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Theriva Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
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Theriva Stock Analysis Notes

About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.14. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Theriva Biologics recorded a loss per share of 32.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of August 2018. The firm had 1:25 split on the 26th of August 2024. Theriva Biologics Inc., a clinical-stage company, develops therapeutics to treat diseases in areas of high unmet need. Theriva Biologics Inc. is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland. Theriva Biologics operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 16 people. To find out more about Theriva Biologics contact Steven CPA at 301 417 4364 or learn more at https://therivabio.com.

Theriva Biologics Investment Alerts

Theriva Biologics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Theriva Biologics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Theriva Biologics may become a speculative penny stock
Theriva Biologics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (18.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Theriva Biologics currently holds about 52.27 M in cash with (19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Theriva Biologics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from medcitynews.com: Twin Brothers Launch Seen Health with 22M to Provide Culturally-Focused Care for Seniors

Theriva Biologics Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Theriva Biologics to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
4th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Theriva Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Theriva Biologics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-05-07
2024-03-31-0.34-0.30.0411 
2022-08-11
2022-06-30-0.35-0.310.0411 
2021-11-03
2021-09-30-0.25-0.20.0520 
View All Earnings Estimates

Theriva Biologics Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Theriva Biologics stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Health Management Idea
Health Management
Healthcare providers, hospitals
Biotech Idea
Biotech
Biotechnology and pharmaceuticals production and services
Computers Idea
Computers
USA Equities from Computers industry as classified by Fama & French

Theriva Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Nano-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.56 M.

Theriva Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.62)(0.65)
Return On Capital Employed(0.44)(0.42)
Return On Assets(0.33)(0.35)
Return On Equity(0.46)(0.49)

Management Efficiency

Theriva Biologics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2498) % which means that it has lost $0.2498 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5906) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Theriva Biologics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Theriva Biologics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.65 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to -0.42 in 2024. At this time, Theriva Biologics' Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 29.2 M in 2024, whereas Total Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 14.4 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 61.64  109.45 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 22.11  21.01 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 0.71  0.75 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.17  0.17 
Enterprise Value Multiple 0.71  0.75 
Price Fair Value 0.17  0.17 
Enterprise Value-29.8 M-28.3 M
The leadership approach at Theriva Biologics' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Beta
1.338
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(0.59)

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of November, Theriva Biologics has the Coefficient Of Variation of (2,328), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Variance of 176.65. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Theriva Biologics, as well as the relationship between them.

Theriva Biologics Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Theriva Biologics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Theriva Biologics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Theriva Biologics Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Theriva Biologics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Theriva Biologics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Theriva Biologics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Theriva Biologics Predictive Daily Indicators

Theriva Biologics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Theriva Biologics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Theriva Biologics Forecast Models

Theriva Biologics' time-series forecasting models are one of many Theriva Biologics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Theriva Biologics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Theriva Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Theriva Biologics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Theriva shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Theriva Biologics. By using and applying Theriva Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Theriva entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.62)(0.65)
Operating Profit Margin(0.58)(0.60)
Net Loss(0.62)(0.65)
Gross Profit Margin 0.77  0.63 

Current Theriva Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Theriva analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Theriva analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
4.5Strong Buy2Odds
Theriva Biologics current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Theriva analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Theriva stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Theriva Biologics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Theriva conference calls.
Theriva Analyst Advice Details

Theriva Stock Analysis Indicators

Theriva Biologics stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Theriva Biologics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Theriva Biologics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Theriva Biologics stock analysis, traders can identify Theriva Biologics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow41.9 M
Long Term Debt162 K
Common Stock Shares Outstanding644.3 K
Total Stockholder Equity39.7 M
Tax Provision-1.8 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.2 M
Cash23.2 M
Accounts Payable770 K
Net Debt-21 M
50 Day M A1.8752
Total Current Liabilities6.7 M
Other Operating Expenses21.4 M
Non Current Assets Total27.8 M
Non Currrent Assets Other180 K
Stock Based Compensation552 K

Additional Tools for Theriva Stock Analysis

When running Theriva Biologics' price analysis, check to measure Theriva Biologics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Theriva Biologics is operating at the current time. Most of Theriva Biologics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Theriva Biologics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Theriva Biologics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Theriva Biologics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.