Vigil Neuroscience Stock Analysis

VIGL Stock  USD 1.93  0.04  2.12%   
Vigil Neuroscience is undervalued with Real Value of 5.47 and Target Price of 16.19. The main objective of Vigil Neuroscience stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Vigil Neuroscience is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Vigil Neuroscience's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Vigil Neuroscience stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vigil Neuroscience. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Vigil Stock please use our How to buy in Vigil Stock guide.

Vigil Stock Analysis Notes

About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vigil Neuroscience recorded a loss per share of 2.07. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Vigil Neuroscience, Inc., a microglia-focused company, engages in the development of disease-modifying therapeutics for patients, caregivers, and families affected by rare and common neurodegenerative diseases. Vigil Neuroscience, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Amgen Inc. Vigil Neuroscience operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 48 people. For more information please call Ivana JD at 857 254 4445 or visit https://www.vigilneuro.com.

Vigil Neuroscience Investment Alerts

Vigil Neuroscience generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vigil Neuroscience has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vigil Neuroscience may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (82.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Vigil Neuroscience currently holds about 148.91 M in cash with (70.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Vigil Neuroscience has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vigil Neuroscience Highlights 2024 Corporate Achievements and Upcoming 2025 Milestones

Vigil Neuroscience Upcoming and Recent Events

19th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
19th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Vigil Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Vigil Neuroscience's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-11-07
2024-09-30-0.535-0.470.06512 
2022-11-10
2022-09-30-0.6-0.530.0711 
2022-08-08
2022-06-30-0.67-0.60.0710 
View All Earnings Estimates

Vigil Neuroscience Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Vigil Neuroscience stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Pharmaceutical Products Idea
Pharmaceutical Products
USA Equities from Pharmaceutical Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Vigil Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Pivotal Bioventure Partners Investment Advisor Llc2024-09-30
560.6 K
Rock Springs Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
472 K
Orbimed Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
448.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
422.5 K
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2024-09-30
289.5 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
278.8 K
Abrdn Plc2024-09-30
235 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
226.1 K
Woodline Partners Lp2024-09-30
144.1 K
Northpond Ventures, Llc2024-09-30
4.2 M
Siren, L.l.c.2024-09-30
M
Note, although Vigil Neuroscience's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vigil Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 78.9 M.

Vigil Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.53)(0.55)
Return On Capital Employed(0.79)(0.83)
Return On Assets(0.53)(0.55)
Return On Equity(0.82)(0.78)

Management Efficiency

Vigil Neuroscience has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.3966) % which means that it has lost $0.3966 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.7012) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Vigil Neuroscience's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Vigil Neuroscience manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.55. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.83. At this time, Vigil Neuroscience's Net Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is expected to rise to about 22.9 M this year, although the value of Other Current Assets will most likely fall to about 2.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.70  2.84 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.70  2.84 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.94)(0.99)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.01  1.06 
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.94)(0.99)
Price Fair Value 1.01  1.06 
Enterprise Value106.6 M155.3 M
At Vigil Neuroscience, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Beta
1.934
Return On Assets
(0.40)
Return On Equity
(0.70)

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of January 2025, Vigil Neuroscience has the Variance of 29.99, coefficient of variation of (708.47), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vigil Neuroscience, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Vigil Neuroscience standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Vigil Neuroscience is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 1.93 per share. Please also confirm Vigil Neuroscience jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.81) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Vigil Neuroscience Price Movement Analysis

Study
Time Period
Deviations up
Deviations down
MA Type
Execute Study
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Vigil Neuroscience Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Vigil Neuroscience insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Vigil Neuroscience's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Vigil Neuroscience insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Vigil Neuroscience Outstanding Bonds

Vigil Neuroscience issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Vigil Neuroscience uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Vigil bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Vigil Neuroscience has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Vigil Neuroscience Predictive Daily Indicators

Vigil Neuroscience intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Vigil Neuroscience stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Vigil Neuroscience Forecast Models

Vigil Neuroscience's time-series forecasting models are one of many Vigil Neuroscience's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vigil Neuroscience's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Vigil Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Vigil Neuroscience prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Vigil shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Vigil Neuroscience. By using and applying Vigil Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Vigil entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year

Current Vigil Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vigil analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vigil analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
16.19Strong Buy9Odds
Vigil Neuroscience current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Vigil analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Vigil stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Vigil Neuroscience, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Vigil conference calls.
Vigil Analyst Advice Details

Vigil Stock Analysis Indicators

Vigil Neuroscience stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Vigil Neuroscience stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Vigil Neuroscience shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Vigil Neuroscience stock analysis, traders can identify Vigil Neuroscience position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow186.6 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity116.3 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net17.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments117.9 M
Cash52 M
Accounts Payable1.9 M
Net Debt-38.1 M
50 Day M A2.3974
Total Current Liabilities11.7 M
Other Operating Expenses88.9 M
Non Current Assets Total19 M
Non Currrent Assets OtherM
Stock Based Compensation8.9 M
When determining whether Vigil Neuroscience is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vigil Neuroscience's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vigil Neuroscience's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vigil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vigil Neuroscience. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Vigil Stock please use our How to buy in Vigil Stock guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vigil Neuroscience. If investors know Vigil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vigil Neuroscience listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.07)
Return On Assets
(0.40)
Return On Equity
(0.70)
The market value of Vigil Neuroscience is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vigil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vigil Neuroscience's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vigil Neuroscience's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vigil Neuroscience's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vigil Neuroscience's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vigil Neuroscience's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vigil Neuroscience is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vigil Neuroscience's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.