Forge Global Holdings Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

FRGE Stock  USD 0.97  0.01  1.04%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Forge Global Holdings. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Forge Global over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Forge Global's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Forge Global's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
2.66
Alpha
(0.70)
Risk
4.68
Sharpe Ratio
(0.13)
Expected Return
(0.60)
Please note that although Forge Global alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Forge Global did 0.70  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Forge Global Holdings stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Forge Global Holdings has a beta of 2.66  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forge Global will likely underperform. At present, Forge Global's Enterprise Value is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Enterprise Value

755.46 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Forge Global Backtesting, Forge Global Valuation, Forge Global Correlation, Forge Global Hype Analysis, Forge Global Volatility, Forge Global History and analyze Forge Global Performance.

Forge Global Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Forge Global market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Forge Global long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Forge Global. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Forge Global's performance over market.
α-0.7   β2.66

Forge Global expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Forge Global's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Forge Global performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Forge Global Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Forge Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Forge Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Forge Global stock market price indicators, traders can identify Forge Global position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Forge Global Return and Market Media

The median price of Forge Global for the period between Sat, Aug 24, 2024 and Fri, Nov 22, 2024 is 1.28 with a coefficient of variation of 12.8. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.16, arithmetic mean of 1.25, and mean deviation of 0.12. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Disposition of 60000 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 1.2931 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/05/2024
2
Disposition of 40000 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 1.2674 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/06/2024
3
Disposition of 43372 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global subject to Rule 16b-3
09/10/2024
4
Disposition of 85000 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 1.3183 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/12/2024
5
Disposition of 18405 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 1.3577 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/16/2024
6
Disposition of 31595 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 1.3636 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/17/2024
7
Acquisition by Mark Lee of 61064 shares of Forge Global subject to Rule 16b-3
09/18/2024
8
Forge Global Announces Forge Price, A New Standard for Pricing Pre-IPO Venture-Backed Late-Stage Companies, Now Integrated into Forge Pro and Related Data Produ...
09/26/2024
9
Disposition of 226933 shares by Drew Sievers of Forge Global subject to Rule 16b-3
09/30/2024
10
Disposition of 50000 shares by Jennifer Phillips of Forge Global at 1.2769 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/22/2024
11
Disposition of 50000 shares by Jennifer Phillips of Forge Global at 1.2282 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/23/2024
12
Disposition of 38916 shares by Jennifer Phillips of Forge Global at 1.2122 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/24/2024
13
Disposition of 25000 shares by Jennifer Phillips of Forge Global at 1.1388 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/01/2024
14
Disposition of 25000 shares by Jennifer Phillips of Forge Global at 1.137 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/04/2024
15
Forge Global Holdings, Inc. Reports Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Results
11/06/2024
16
Forge Global Holdings, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
11/08/2024
17
Disposition of 25000 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 0.8774 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/15/2024
18
Disposition of 25000 shares by Kelly Rodriques of Forge Global at 0.8227 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2024
19
Forge Global Holdings CEO Kelly sells shares worth 42,502
11/20/2024

About Forge Global Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Forge or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Forge Global Holdings has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield1.53E-41.36E-4
Price To Sales Ratio8.528.09

Forge Global Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Forge Global's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Forge Global's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Forge Global's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Forge Global. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Forge Global's management manipulating its earnings.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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When determining whether Forge Global Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Forge Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Forge Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Forge Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Forge Global technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Forge Global technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Forge Global trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...