Forge Global Holdings Stock Volatility
| FRGE Stock | USD 1.07 0.10 10.31% |
Forge Global Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which denotes the company had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Forge Global Holdings exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Forge Global's Mean Deviation of 3.53, standard deviation of 4.7, and Variance of 22.12 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Forge Global's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Forge Global Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Forge daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Forge's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Forge Global volatility.
Forge |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Forge Global can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Forge Global at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Forge Global's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with Forge Stock
Moving against Forge Stock
| 0.8 | FI | Fiserv, Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | ANY | Sphere 3D Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | BL | Blackline | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | AI | C3 Ai Inc Trending | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | S | SentinelOne | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | DQ | Daqo New Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | CLSK | CleanSpark Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC | PairCorr |
Forge Global Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Forge Global's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Forge stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Forge stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Forge Global's beta of 2.66 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Forge Global stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Forge Global Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.14 and kurtosis of 1.41. Forge Global Holdings is a potential penny stock. Although Forge Global may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Forge Global Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Forge instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Forge Global Holdings Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Forge Global correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Forge Beta |
Forge standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.68 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Forge Global's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Forge Global's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in forge stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Forge Global.
Forge Global Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Forge Global stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Forge Global's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Forge Global's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Forge Global's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Forge Global's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Forge Global's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Forge Global's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Forge Global's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Forge Global Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Forge Global Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.6569 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Forge Global will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Forge Global or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Forge Global's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Forge stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Forge Global Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Forge Global Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Forge Global Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Forge Global is -779.24. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 21.94 and standard deviation of 4.68. The mean deviation of Forge Global Holdings is currently at 3.47. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Forge Global Stock Return Volatility
Forge Global historical daily return volatility represents how much of Forge Global stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.6844% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Forge Global Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Forge Global or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Forge Global may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Forge's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Forge Global and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Forge Global fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 3.5 M | 3.7 M | |
| Market Cap | 594.8 M | 858.7 M |
Forge Global's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Forge Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Forge Global's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Forge Global's volatility to invest better
Higher Forge Global's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Forge Global Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Forge Global Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Forge Global Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Forge Global's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Forge Global's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Forge Global Investment Opportunity
Forge Global Holdings has a volatility of 4.68 and is 6.16 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Forge Global Holdings is lower than 41 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Forge Global Holdings to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Forge Global to be traded at $1.3375 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Forge Global Holdings and DJI is 0.43 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Forge Global Holdings and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Forge Global Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Forge Global's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Forge Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Forge Global stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,111) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.12 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Forge Global Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Forge Global as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Forge Global's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Forge Global's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Forge Global Holdings.
Complementary Tools for Forge Stock analysis
When running Forge Global's price analysis, check to measure Forge Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forge Global is operating at the current time. Most of Forge Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forge Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forge Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forge Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance |