Home Federal Bancorp Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

HFBL Stock  USD 12.29  0.02  0.16%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Home Federal Bancorp. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Home Federal over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Home Federal's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Home Federal's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.72
Alpha
0.0446
Risk
137.05
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Expected Return
16.61
Please note that although Home Federal alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Home Federal did 0.04  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Home Federal Bancorp stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Home Federal Bancorp has a beta of 0.72  . As returns on the market increase, Home Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Home Federal is expected to be smaller as well. At this time, Home Federal's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Fair Value is expected to rise to 1.16 this year, although Tangible Book Value Per Share will most likely fall to 11.90.

Enterprise Value

42.71 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Home Federal Backtesting, Home Federal Valuation, Home Federal Correlation, Home Federal Hype Analysis, Home Federal Volatility, Home Federal History and analyze Home Federal Performance.

Home Federal Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Home Federal market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Home Federal long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Home Federal. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Home Federal's performance over market.
α0.04   β0.72

Home Federal expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Home Federal's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Home Federal performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Home Federal Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Home Federal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Home Federal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Home Federal stock market price indicators, traders can identify Home Federal position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Home Federal Return and Market Media

The median price of Home Federal for the period between Sat, Aug 24, 2024 and Fri, Nov 22, 2024 is 12.49 with a coefficient of variation of 18.15. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 2.21, arithmetic mean of 12.19, and mean deviation of 0.79. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
 
Home Federal dividend paid on 19th of August 2024
08/19/2024
1
Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average of 12.04 - Defense World
08/21/2024
2
Disposition of 7848 shares by Colquitt Walter T Iii of Home Federal at 7.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/06/2024
3
Disposition of 12500 shares by James Barlow of Home Federal at 12.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/19/2024
4
Home Federal Bancorp of Louisiana Full Year 2024 Earnings EPS US1.18
10/03/2024
5
Acquisition by James Barlow of 300 shares of Home Federal at 13.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/21/2024
 
Home Federal dividend paid on 28th of October 2024
10/28/2024
6
HOME FEDERAL BANCORP, INC. OF LOUISIANA ANNOUNCES APPROVAL OF STOCK REPURCHASE PROGRAM
11/01/2024
7
Acquisition by James Barlow of 248 shares of Home Federal at 29.0042 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/08/2024
 
Home Federal dividend paid on 11th of November 2024
11/11/2024
9
Home Federal Bancorp shareholders approve board nominees
11/20/2024

About Home Federal Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Home or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Home Federal Bancorp has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03610.04490.0471
Price To Sales Ratio1.811.711.62

Home Federal Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Home Federal's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Home Federal's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Home Federal's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Home Federal. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Home Federal's management manipulating its earnings.
26th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Build Portfolio with Home Federal

Your optimized portfolios are the building block of your wealth. We provide an intuitive interface to determine which securities in a portfolio should be removed or rebalanced to achieve better diversification, find the right mix of securities that minimizes portfolio risk for a given return, or maximize portfolio expected return for a given risk level.

Build Diversified Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Home Federal Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Home Federal's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Home Federal's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Home Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Home Federal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Home Federal technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Home Federal trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...