Triumph Group Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

TGI Stock  USD 19.27  0.17  0.89%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Triumph Group. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Triumph over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Triumph's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Triumph's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.43
Alpha
0.47
Risk
4.24
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Expected Return
0.6
Please note that although Triumph alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Triumph did 0.47  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Triumph Group stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Triumph Group has a beta of 1.43  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Triumph will likely underperform. As of now, Triumph's Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is increasing as compared to previous years. The Triumph's current Enterprise Value Multiple is estimated to increase to 14.99, while Book Value Per Share is forecasted to increase to (1.34).

Triumph Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

169.88 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Triumph Backtesting, Triumph Valuation, Triumph Correlation, Triumph Hype Analysis, Triumph Volatility, Triumph History and analyze Triumph Performance.

Triumph Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Triumph market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Triumph long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Triumph. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Triumph's performance over market.
α0.47   β1.43

Triumph expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Triumph's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Triumph performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Triumph Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Triumph stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triumph shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Triumph stock market price indicators, traders can identify Triumph position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Triumph Return and Market Media

The median price of Triumph for the period between Sat, Aug 24, 2024 and Fri, Nov 22, 2024 is 13.85 with a coefficient of variation of 12.79. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 1.84, arithmetic mean of 14.39, and mean deviation of 1.39. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Disposition of 548 shares by Kai Kasiguran of Triumph subject to Rule 16b-3
08/30/2024
2
Stocks With Rising Relative Strength Triumph Group
09/13/2024
3
Disposition of 1608 shares by Thomas Quigley of Triumph subject to Rule 16b-3
10/07/2024
4
Triumph Group reportedly mulling sale, Bloomberg says shares jump
10/10/2024
5
Acquisition by Allen Patrick E of 10324 shares of Triumph subject to Rule 16b-3
10/11/2024
6
Why Triumph Group, Inc. is the Worst Aerospace Stock to Buy According to Short Sellers
10/18/2024
7
AerSale Corporation Earnings Expected to Grow Should You Buy
10/31/2024
8
KBRA Comments on TGI Fridays Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing
11/04/2024
9
Goldman Sachs Group Incs Strategic Acquisition of Triumph Group Inc Shares
11/08/2024
10
Triumph Group raises guidance after beating Q2 estimates
11/12/2024
11
Q2 2025 Triumph Group Inc Earnings Call Transcript
11/13/2024
12
Treasure Global Inc. Reports First Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results
11/18/2024
13
Triumph Group price target raised to 21 from 16 at Barclays - MSN
11/21/2024

About Triumph Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Triumph or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Triumph Group has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02130.0224
Price To Sales Ratio0.910.83

Triumph Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Triumph's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Triumph's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Triumph's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Triumph. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Triumph's management manipulating its earnings.
7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
15th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of May 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of March 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Build Portfolio with Triumph

Your optimized portfolios are the building block of your wealth. We provide an intuitive interface to determine which securities in a portfolio should be removed or rebalanced to achieve better diversification, find the right mix of securities that minimizes portfolio risk for a given return, or maximize portfolio expected return for a given risk level.

Build Diversified Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Triumph Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Triumph's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Triumph Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Triumph Group Stock:
Check out Triumph Backtesting, Triumph Valuation, Triumph Correlation, Triumph Hype Analysis, Triumph Volatility, Triumph History and analyze Triumph Performance.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Triumph technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Triumph technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Triumph trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...