Triumph Group Performance
| TGIDelisted Stock | USD 287.40 5.40 1.91% |
The entity has a beta of 31.87, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Triumph will likely underperform. Triumph Group right now has a risk of 0.0%. Please validate Triumph expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Triumph will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Triumph Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Triumph is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 392.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -21.3 M |
Triumph |
Triumph Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 28,740 in Triumph Group on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Triumph Group or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Triumph Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 0.0% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 0% of stocks are less volatile than Triumph, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Triumph Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Triumph Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 287.40 | 90 days | 287.40 | about 19.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Triumph to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.27 (This Triumph Group probability density function shows the probability of Triumph Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 31.87 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Triumph will likely underperform. In addition to that Triumph Group has an alpha of 10.3345, implying that it can generate a 10.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Triumph Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Triumph
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triumph Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Triumph Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Triumph is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Triumph's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Triumph Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Triumph within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 10.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 31.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 122.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Triumph Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Triumph for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Triumph Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Triumph Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Triumph Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Triumph Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Triumph Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Triumph Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Triumph's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triumph's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 277.2 M |
Triumph Fundamentals Growth
Triumph Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Triumph, and Triumph fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Triumph Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.0579 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.73 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 77.79 M | |||
| Price To Earning | (23.51) X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.60 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.26 B | |||
| EBITDA | 158.66 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 277.16 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 1.61 X | |||
| Total Debt | 987.03 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 319.20 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.99) X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 37.88 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.46 X | |||
| Total Asset | 1.63 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (654.3 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 1.74 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.14 B | |||
About Triumph Performance
By evaluating Triumph's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Triumph's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Triumph has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Triumph has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Triumph Group, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and distributes aerostructures, aircraft components, accessories, subassemblies, and systems worldwide. Triumph Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. Triumph operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5340 people.Things to note about Triumph Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Triumph for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Triumph Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Triumph Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Triumph Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Triumph Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Triumph's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Triumph's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Triumph's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Triumph's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Triumph's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Triumph's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Triumph's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Other Consideration for investing in Triumph Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Triumph Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Triumph's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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