Churchill Downs Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

CHDN Stock  USD 114.44  2.49  2.22%   
The current analyst and expert consensus on Churchill Downs is Strong Buy, with 8 strong buy opinions. The current projected Churchill Downs target price consensus is 136.42 with 11 analyst opinions. Check out Macroaxis Advice on Churchill Downs to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
The most common way Churchill Downs analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Churchill Downs executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Churchill Downs buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Churchill Downs target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 1.8749.
Lowest Forecast
124.14
Highest Forecast
151.42
Target Price
136.42
At this time, Churchill Downs' Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 6th of January 2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.25, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.1. At this time, Churchill Downs' Net Debt is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 6th of January 2026, Retained Earnings is likely to grow to about 1.3 B, while Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to drop about 20 M.
It's important to approach Churchill Downs' target price projections with caution. While they can be useful as part of a broader investment strategy, they are inherently speculative and subject to various kinds of risk, including market volatility and unforeseen external factors. Always consider multiple aspects and do your own research when making investment decisions.

Churchill Downs Target Price Consensus

Churchill target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Churchill Downs' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   11  Strong Buy
Most Churchill analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Churchill stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Churchill Downs, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Churchill Downs Target Price Projection

Churchill Downs' current and average target prices are 114.44 and 136.42, respectively. The current price of Churchill Downs is the price at which Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently trading. On the other hand, Churchill Downs' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Churchill Downs Market Quote on 6th of January 2026

Low Price111.89Odds
High Price116.0Odds

114.44

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Churchill Downs Target Price

Low Estimate124.14Odds
High Estimate151.42Odds

136.4167

Historical Lowest Forecast  124.14 Target Price  136.42 Highest Forecast  151.42
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Churchill Downs Incorporated and the information provided on this page.

Churchill Downs Analyst Ratings

Churchill Downs' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Churchill Downs stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Churchill Downs' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Churchill Downs' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

Analysts determine stock price targets through various methods, including financial modeling, peer comparison, and company analysis. The stock price target is the analyst's best estimate of the future price of a stock and is used by investors to make investment decisions. However, it is important to note that stock price targets are not guaranteed, and the actual price of a stock can differ significantly from the target due to various factors such as market conditions, economic events, and company developments.

Steps to utilize Churchill Downs price targets

Churchill Downs' stock target price is an estimate of its future price, usually made by analysts. Using Churchill Downs' target price to determine if it is a suitable investment can be done through the following steps:
  • Look at Churchill Downs' target prices provided by various analysts and compare them. This can help you gain a more balanced view of the Stock's potential.
  • Look at the analyst's track record to determine if they have a history of accurately predicting stock prices.
  • Look at the Company's financials, including revenue, earnings, and debt, to determine if it is in good financial health.
  • Consider market conditions. For example, take into account the state of the economy, competition, and regulatory environment, to determine if Churchill Downs' stock is likely to perform well.
  • Diversify your portfolio and do not rely solely on stock target prices to make investment decisions. Invest in a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets to manage risk.
Remember that stock target prices are just estimates and are subject to change. Therefore, using them as one factor in a larger investment strategy is essential rather than relying solely on them to make decisions.

Additional Churchill Downs Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Churchill Downs is a key component of Churchill Downs valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Churchill Downs.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Churchill Downs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.19114.04115.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.00132.00133.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
108.06109.91111.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.961.23
Details

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When determining whether Churchill Downs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Churchill Downs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock:
Check out Macroaxis Advice on Churchill Downs to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.