Japan Post (Germany) Technical Analysis

4JP Stock   25.80  0.40  1.53%   
As of the 1st of February, Japan Post retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1078, downside deviation of 1.81, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.41). Japan Post technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Japan Post Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Japan, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Japan
  
Japan Post's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Japan Post's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Japan Post represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Japan Post's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Japan Post 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Japan Post's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Japan Post.
0.00
11/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/01/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Japan Post on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Japan Post Insurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in Japan Post over 90 days. Japan Post is related to or competes with MIRAMAR HOTEL, OFFICE DEPOT, CAIRN HOMES, Aedas Homes, Choice Hotels, and Meritage Homes. More

Japan Post Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Japan Post's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Japan Post Insurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Japan Post Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Japan Post's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Japan Post's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Japan Post historical prices to predict the future Japan Post's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Japan Post's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1825.8027.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9120.5328.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.9724.5926.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.6826.2827.89
Details

Japan Post February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Japan Post Insurance Backtested Returns

Japan Post appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Japan Post Insurance holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Japan Post Insurance, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Japan Post's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1078, downside deviation of 1.81, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.41) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Japan Post holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Japan Post are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Japan Post is likely to outperform the market. Please check Japan Post's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Japan Post's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.05  

Virtually no predictability

Japan Post Insurance has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Japan Post time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Japan Post Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Japan Post price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.82
Japan Post technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Japan Post technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Japan Post trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Japan Post Insurance Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Japan Post Insurance volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Japan Post Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Japan Post Insurance on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Japan Post Insurance based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Japan Post Insurance price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Japan Post Insurance. By analyzing Japan Post's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Japan Post's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Japan Post specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Japan Post February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Japan help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Japan from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Japan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Japan Post February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Japan stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Japan Stock Analysis

When running Japan Post's price analysis, check to measure Japan Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Post is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.