Aia Group Stock Technical Analysis

AAIGF Stock  USD 9.78  0.50  4.86%   
As of the 17th of February 2026, AIA owns the variance of 8.44, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). AIA Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of past data patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AIA Group information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and value at risk to decide if AIA Group is priced adequately, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 9.78 per share. Given that AIA Group has information ratio of (0.03), we suggest you to validate AIA's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some future date.

AIA Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AIA, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AIA
  
AIA's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that AIA's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AIA represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AIA's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

AIA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AIA's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AIA.
0.00
11/19/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/17/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AIA on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AIA Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in AIA over 90 days. AIA is related to or competes with Zurich Insurance, Zurich Insurance, AXA SA, Axa SA, Ping An, Investor, and Sumitomo Mitsui. AIA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides life insurance based financial services More

AIA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AIA's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AIA Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AIA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AIA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AIA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AIA historical prices to predict the future AIA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.959.7812.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.198.0210.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AIA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AIA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AIA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AIA Group.

AIA February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators

AIA Group Backtested Returns

At this point, AIA is somewhat reliable. AIA Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0457, which signifies that the company had a 0.0457 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for AIA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AIA's variance of 8.44, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. AIA has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.5, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AIA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AIA is expected to be smaller as well. AIA Group at this moment owns a risk of 2.83%. Please confirm AIA Group maximum drawdown, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and kurtosis , to decide if AIA Group will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.2  

Insignificant reverse predictability

AIA Group has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AIA time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AIA Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current AIA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.2
Spearman Rank Test0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22
AIA technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of AIA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of AIA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

AIA Group Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of AIA Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About AIA Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AIA Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AIA Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AIA Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AIA Group. By analyzing AIA's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AIA's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AIA specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

AIA February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of AIA help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AIA from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AIA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

AIA February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AIA stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for AIA Pink Sheet analysis

When running AIA's price analysis, check to measure AIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AIA is operating at the current time. Most of AIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments