AES (Germany) Technical Analysis

AES Stock  EUR 13.86  0.01  0.07%   
As of the 20th of February, AES shows the Mean Deviation of 1.1, risk adjusted performance of 0.099, and Semi Deviation of 1.19. AES technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

AES Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AES, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AES
  
AES's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that AES's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AES represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AES's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

AES 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AES's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AES.
0.00
11/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/20/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AES on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The AES or generate 0.0% return on investment in AES over 90 days. AES is related to or competes with CI GAMES, Penn National, TROPHY GAMES, GigaMedia, Thai Beverage, Boyd Gaming, and HOCHSCHILD MINING. AES is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on MU exchange. More

AES Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AES's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The AES upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AES Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AES historical prices to predict the future AES's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1313.9415.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4613.2715.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.0713.8815.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7113.8115.91
Details

AES February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

AES Backtested Returns

AES appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. AES secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for The AES, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of AES's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.099, semi deviation of 1.19, and Mean Deviation of 1.1 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AES holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AES's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AES is expected to be smaller as well. Please check AES's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether AES's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.32  

Below average predictability

The AES has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AES time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AES price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current AES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.39
AES technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of AES technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of AES trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

AES Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of AES volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About AES Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of The AES on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of The AES based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AES price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AES. By analyzing AES's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AES's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AES specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

AES February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of AES help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AES from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

AES February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AES stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis

When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.