Amtrust Financial Services Stock Technical Analysis

AFSIM Stock  USD 15.00  0.25  1.69%   
As of the 29th of January, AmTrust Financial shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0165, and Mean Deviation of 1.65. AmTrust Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AmTrust Financial variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if AmTrust Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 15.0 per share. Given that AmTrust Financial has jensen alpha of 0.0444, we suggest you to validate AmTrust Financial Services's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

AmTrust Financial Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AmTrust, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AmTrust
  
AmTrust Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that AmTrust Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AmTrust Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, AmTrust Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AmTrust Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AmTrust Financial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AmTrust Financial.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AmTrust Financial on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AmTrust Financial Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in AmTrust Financial over 90 days. AmTrust Financial is related to or competes with AmTrust Financial, AmTrust Financial, AmTrust Financial, AmTrust Financial, AmTrust Financial, Intact Financial, and AmTrust Financial. AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. operates as a property and casualty company More

AmTrust Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AmTrust Financial's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AmTrust Financial Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AmTrust Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AmTrust Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AmTrust Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AmTrust Financial historical prices to predict the future AmTrust Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8315.0017.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6112.7816.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8114.9817.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3914.8815.36
Details

AmTrust Financial January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

AmTrust Financial Backtested Returns

AmTrust Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0218, which signifies that the company had a -0.0218 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AmTrust Financial Services exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AmTrust Financial's mean deviation of 1.65, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0165 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AmTrust Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AmTrust Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, AmTrust Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0474%. Please make sure to confirm AmTrust Financial's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if AmTrust Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.13  

Insignificant predictability

AmTrust Financial Services has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AmTrust Financial time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AmTrust Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current AmTrust Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09
AmTrust Financial technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of AmTrust Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of AmTrust Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

AmTrust Financial Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for AmTrust Financial across different markets.

About AmTrust Financial Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AmTrust Financial Services on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AmTrust Financial Services based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AmTrust Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AmTrust Financial. By analyzing AmTrust Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AmTrust Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AmTrust Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

AmTrust Financial January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of AmTrust help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AmTrust from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AmTrust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

AmTrust Financial January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AmTrust stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in AmTrust Pink Sheet

AmTrust Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AmTrust Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AmTrust with respect to the benefits of owning AmTrust Financial security.