Austral Gold Limited Stock Technical Analysis
| AGLDF Stock | USD 0.18 0.01 5.26% |
As of the 15th of February 2026, Austral Gold shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1923, downside deviation of 11.76, and Mean Deviation of 9.09. Austral Gold Limited technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Austral Gold Limited jensen alpha and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Austral Gold Limited is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.18 per share. As Austral Gold Limited appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its total risk alpha numbers.
Austral Gold Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Austral, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AustralAustral |
Austral Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Austral Gold's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Austral Gold.
| 11/17/2025 |
| 02/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Austral Gold on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Austral Gold Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Austral Gold over 90 days. Austral Gold is related to or competes with Libero Copper, Mirasol Resources, Silver Bullet, and Equity Metals. Austral Gold Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of gold and silver depo... More
Austral Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Austral Gold's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Austral Gold Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 11.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.221 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 58.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (14.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 27.27 |
Austral Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Austral Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Austral Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Austral Gold historical prices to predict the future Austral Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1923 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.68 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.85 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.229 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.11 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Austral Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Austral Gold February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1923 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.12 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 9.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 11.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 440.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.19 | |||
| Variance | 148.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.221 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.68 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.85 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.229 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.11 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 58.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (14.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 27.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 138.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (18.55) | |||
| Skewness | 0.9036 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6908 |
Austral Gold Limited Backtested Returns
Austral Gold is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Austral Gold Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.63% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Austral Gold Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1923, downside deviation of 11.76, and Mean Deviation of 9.09 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Austral Gold holds a performance score of 16 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Austral Gold will likely underperform. Use Austral Gold sortino ratio, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Austral Gold.
Auto-correlation | 0.65 |
Good predictability
Austral Gold Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Austral Gold time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Austral Gold Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Austral Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.65 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.81 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Austral Gold technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Austral Gold Limited Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Austral Gold Limited across different markets.
About Austral Gold Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Austral Gold Limited on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Austral Gold Limited based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Austral Gold Limited price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Austral Gold Limited. By analyzing Austral Gold's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Austral Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Austral Gold specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Austral Gold February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Austral help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Austral from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Austral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1923 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.12 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 9.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 11.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 440.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.19 | |||
| Variance | 148.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.221 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.68 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.85 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.229 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.11 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 58.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (14.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 27.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 138.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (18.55) | |||
| Skewness | 0.9036 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6908 |
Austral Gold February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Austral stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 0.18 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 0.18 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) |
Complementary Tools for Austral Pink Sheet analysis
When running Austral Gold's price analysis, check to measure Austral Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austral Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Austral Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austral Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austral Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austral Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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