Astera Labs Stock Technical Analysis
| ALAB Stock | 182.86 4.81 2.56% |
As of the 11th of February 2026, Astera Labs shows the Mean Deviation of 4.43, risk adjusted performance of 0.0324, and Downside Deviation of 5.76. Astera Labs technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Astera Labs Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Astera, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AsteraAstera Labs' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Astera Labs Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 203.05 | Strong Buy | 17 | Odds |
Most Astera analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Astera stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Astera Labs, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Astera conference calls.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astera Labs. If investors know Astera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Astera Labs assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Earnings Share 1.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.039 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Astera Labs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astera Labs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astera Labs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astera Labs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astera Labs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Astera Labs' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Astera Labs represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Astera Labs' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Astera Labs 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Astera Labs' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Astera Labs.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Astera Labs on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Astera Labs or generate 0.0% return on investment in Astera Labs over 90 days. Astera Labs is related to or competes with Sunrun, CVR Energy, Murphy Oil, Valvoline, California Resources, Valaris, and Magnolia Oil. Astera Labs is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More
Astera Labs Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Astera Labs' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Astera Labs upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0138 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.0 |
Astera Labs Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Astera Labs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Astera Labs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Astera Labs historical prices to predict the future Astera Labs' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0324 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.024 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0139 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0969 |
Astera Labs February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0324 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1069 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.56 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3360.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.8 | |||
| Variance | 33.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0138 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.024 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0139 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0969 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 33.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.47) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2231 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.22 |
Astera Labs Backtested Returns
Astera Labs appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Astera Labs secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0968, which signifies that the company had a 0.0968 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Astera Labs' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.55% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Astera Labs' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0324, downside deviation of 5.76, and Mean Deviation of 4.43 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Astera Labs holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.68, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Astera Labs will likely underperform. Please check Astera Labs' sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Astera Labs' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.17 |
Very weak predictability
Astera Labs has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Astera Labs time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Astera Labs price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Astera Labs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 122.97 |
Astera Labs technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Astera Labs Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Astera Labs across different markets.
About Astera Labs Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Astera Labs on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astera Labs based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Astera Labs price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Astera Labs. By analyzing Astera Labs's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Astera Labs's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Astera Labs specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.68 | 3.48 | 3.13 | 2.99 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 244.52 | 168.54 | 193.82 | 333.81 |
Astera Labs February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Astera help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astera from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Astera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0324 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1069 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.56 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3360.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.8 | |||
| Variance | 33.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0138 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.024 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0139 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0969 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 33.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.47) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2231 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.22 |
Astera Labs February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Astera stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 514,757 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.41) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 186.94 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 185.58 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.48) |
Complementary Tools for Astera Stock analysis
When running Astera Labs' price analysis, check to measure Astera Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astera Labs is operating at the current time. Most of Astera Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astera Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astera Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astera Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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