Alto Ingredients Stock Technical Analysis
| ALTO Stock | USD 2.51 0.01 0.40% |
As of the 20th of February, Alto Ingredients shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0895, downside deviation of 4.09, and Mean Deviation of 3.61. Alto Ingredients technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Alto Ingredients Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Alto, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AltoAlto Ingredients' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Alto Ingredients Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 4.25 | Strong Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Alto analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alto stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alto Ingredients, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alto conference calls.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Alto diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alto Ingredients. If investors know Alto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Alto Ingredients data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Earnings Share (0.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alto Ingredients is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alto Ingredients' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alto Ingredients' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Alto Ingredients' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alto Ingredients' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alto Ingredients' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alto Ingredients represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alto Ingredients' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Alto Ingredients 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alto Ingredients' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alto Ingredients.
| 11/22/2025 |
| 02/20/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alto Ingredients on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alto Ingredients or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alto Ingredients over 90 days. Alto Ingredients is related to or competes with Origin Materials, Loop Industries, NexMetals Mining, Northern Technologies, Brazil Potash, Largo Resources, and Paramount Gold. Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients in the United States More
Alto Ingredients Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alto Ingredients' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alto Ingredients upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0924 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.99 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.95 |
Alto Ingredients Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alto Ingredients' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alto Ingredients' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alto Ingredients historical prices to predict the future Alto Ingredients' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0895 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4384 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1593 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.106 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5299 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alto Ingredients' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alto Ingredients February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0895 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5399 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.09 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 944.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0924 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4384 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1593 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.106 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5299 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.99 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.34) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5644 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7501 |
Alto Ingredients Backtested Returns
Alto Ingredients appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Alto Ingredients secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0775, which signifies that the company had a 0.0775 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Alto Ingredients, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Alto Ingredients' Mean Deviation of 3.61, downside deviation of 4.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0895 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Alto Ingredients holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.92, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Alto Ingredients returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alto Ingredients is expected to follow. Please check Alto Ingredients' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Alto Ingredients' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
Alto Ingredients has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alto Ingredients time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alto Ingredients price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Alto Ingredients price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.51 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Alto Ingredients technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Alto Ingredients Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Alto Ingredients volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Alto Ingredients Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Alto Ingredients on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alto Ingredients based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Alto Ingredients price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Alto Ingredients. By analyzing Alto Ingredients's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alto Ingredients's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Alto Ingredients specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.7 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.56 | Dividend Yield | 0.006484 | 0.0111 | 0.0127 | 0.0121 |
Alto Ingredients February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Alto help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alto from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Alto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0895 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5399 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.09 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 944.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0924 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4384 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1593 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.106 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5299 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.99 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.34) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5644 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7501 |
Alto Ingredients February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alto stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17,803 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.09 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 2.47 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 2.49 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alto Ingredients. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. To learn how to invest in Alto Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alto Ingredients guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Alto diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alto Ingredients. If investors know Alto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Alto Ingredients data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Earnings Share (0.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alto Ingredients is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alto Ingredients' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alto Ingredients' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Alto Ingredients' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alto Ingredients' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alto Ingredients' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alto Ingredients represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alto Ingredients' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.