Arad (Israel) Technical Analysis

ARD Stock  ILA 5,005  54.00  1.09%   
As of the 4th of March, Arad shows the mean deviation of 1.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). Arad technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Arad Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Arad, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Arad
  
Arad's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Arad's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arad represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Arad's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Arad 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arad's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arad.
0.00
12/04/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/04/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Arad on December 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arad or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arad over 90 days. Arad is related to or competes with Electra Co, Afcon Holdings, and Magic Software. Arad Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells water meters worldwide More

Arad Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arad's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arad upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Arad Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arad's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arad's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arad historical prices to predict the future Arad's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,0045,0055,006
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,2444,2455,506
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,9854,9864,987
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,0055,0055,005
Details

Arad March 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Arad Backtested Returns

Arad secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0747, which signifies that the company had a -0.0747 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Arad exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Arad's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 1.0 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Arad are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Arad is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Arad has a negative expected return of -0.0969%. Please make sure to confirm Arad's coefficient of variation, value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Arad performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.26  

Weak reverse predictability

Arad has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arad time series from 4th of December 2025 to 18th of January 2026 and 18th of January 2026 to 4th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arad price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Arad price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.7 K
Arad technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Arad technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Arad trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Arad Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Arad across different markets.

About Arad Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Arad on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arad based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Arad price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Arad. By analyzing Arad's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Arad's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Arad specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Arad March 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Arad help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arad from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Arad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Arad March 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arad stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Arad Stock analysis

When running Arad's price analysis, check to measure Arad's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arad is operating at the current time. Most of Arad's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arad's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arad's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arad to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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