Ardelyx Stock Technical Analysis
| ARDX Stock | USD 6.76 0.11 1.60% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Ardelyx shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0513, and Mean Deviation of 2.9. Ardelyx technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Ardelyx Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ardelyx, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ArdelyxArdelyx's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Ardelyx Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 14.7 | Strong Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most Ardelyx analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ardelyx stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ardelyx, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ardelyx conference calls.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardelyx. If investors know Ardelyx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ardelyx assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.23) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Ardelyx requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ardelyx's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ardelyx's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ardelyx's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Ardelyx's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ardelyx represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Ardelyx's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Ardelyx 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ardelyx's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ardelyx.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ardelyx on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ardelyx or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ardelyx over 90 days. Ardelyx is related to or competes with Zymeworks Common, Maze Therapeutics, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Trevi Therapeutics, Spyre Therapeutics, Intellia Therapeutics, and Pharvaris. Ardelyx, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat gastrointestinal ... More
Ardelyx Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ardelyx's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ardelyx upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0422 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.49 |
Ardelyx Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardelyx's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ardelyx's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ardelyx historical prices to predict the future Ardelyx's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0513 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1962 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0618 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.302 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ardelyx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ardelyx February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0513 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.312 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1843.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Variance | 19.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0422 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1962 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0618 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.302 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.77) | |||
| Skewness | 2.03 | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.06 |
Ardelyx Backtested Returns
Ardelyx appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Ardelyx secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0944, which signifies that the company had a 0.0944 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ardelyx, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Ardelyx's risk adjusted performance of 0.0513, and Mean Deviation of 2.9 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardelyx holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.76, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ardelyx's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ardelyx is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ardelyx's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Ardelyx's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.57 |
Modest predictability
Ardelyx has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ardelyx time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ardelyx price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Ardelyx price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.37 |
Ardelyx technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ardelyx Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Ardelyx volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Ardelyx Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ardelyx on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ardelyx based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ardelyx price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ardelyx. By analyzing Ardelyx's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ardelyx's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ardelyx specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 1.6 | 3.16 | 3.63 | 2.62 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 255.33 | 152.86 | 175.79 | 256.36 |
Ardelyx February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ardelyx help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ardelyx from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ardelyx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0513 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.312 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1843.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Variance | 19.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0422 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1962 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0618 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.302 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.77) | |||
| Skewness | 2.03 | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.06 |
Ardelyx February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ardelyx stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 147,465 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 6.87 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 6.83 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) |
Additional Tools for Ardelyx Stock Analysis
When running Ardelyx's price analysis, check to measure Ardelyx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardelyx is operating at the current time. Most of Ardelyx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardelyx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardelyx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardelyx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.