Amerigo Resources Stock Technical Analysis

ARREF Stock  USD 4.51  0.33  7.89%   
As of the 4th of February, Amerigo Resources shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.3045, and Mean Deviation of 2.02. Amerigo Resources technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Amerigo Resources, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Amerigo Resources downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if Amerigo Resources is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 4.51 per share. Given that Amerigo Resources has jensen alpha of 1.11, we suggest you to validate Amerigo Resources's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Amerigo Resources Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Amerigo, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Amerigo
  
Amerigo Resources' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Amerigo Resources' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amerigo Resources represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Amerigo Resources' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Amerigo Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amerigo Resources' otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amerigo Resources.
0.00
11/06/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/04/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amerigo Resources on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amerigo Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amerigo Resources over 90 days. Amerigo Resources is related to or competes with PAX Global, Singapore Post, MKDWELL Tech, Singapore Post, Capricor Therapeutics, LivePerson, and Evertec. Amerigo Resources Ltd., through its subsidiary, Minera Valle Central S.A., produces and sells copper and molybdenum conc... More

Amerigo Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amerigo Resources' otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amerigo Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amerigo Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amerigo Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amerigo Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amerigo Resources historical prices to predict the future Amerigo Resources' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amerigo Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.594.517.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.734.657.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.394.317.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.143.984.82
Details

Amerigo Resources February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Amerigo Resources Backtested Returns

Amerigo Resources is slightly risky given 3 months investment horizon. Amerigo Resources secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.45, which signifies that the company had a 0.45 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.32% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Amerigo Resources mean deviation of 2.02, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3045 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Amerigo Resources holds a performance score of 35 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.24, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Amerigo Resources will likely underperform. Use Amerigo Resources treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to analyze future returns on Amerigo Resources.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

Amerigo Resources has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amerigo Resources time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amerigo Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Amerigo Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.89
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24
Amerigo Resources technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Amerigo Resources technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Amerigo Resources trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Amerigo Resources Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Amerigo Resources volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Amerigo Resources Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Amerigo Resources on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amerigo Resources based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on Amerigo Resources price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Amerigo Resources. By analyzing Amerigo Resources's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Amerigo Resources's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Amerigo Resources specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Amerigo Resources February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Amerigo help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amerigo from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Amerigo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Amerigo Resources February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Amerigo stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Amerigo OTC Stock analysis

When running Amerigo Resources' price analysis, check to measure Amerigo Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amerigo Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Amerigo Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amerigo Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amerigo Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amerigo Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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