Atmos Energy Stock Technical Analysis
| ATO Stock | USD 178.12 2.12 1.18% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Atmos Energy shows the Mean Deviation of 0.6955, risk adjusted performance of 0.0238, and Downside Deviation of 1.23. Atmos Energy technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Atmos Energy Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Atmos, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AtmosAtmos Energy's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Atmos Energy Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 178.2 | Buy | 15 | Odds |
Most Atmos analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Atmos stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Atmos Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Atmos conference calls.
Will Gas Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Atmos diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Atmos Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.094 | Dividend Share 3.61 | Earnings Share 7.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.142 |
The market value of Atmos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Atmos Energy's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Atmos Energy represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Atmos Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Atmos Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Atmos Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Atmos Energy.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Atmos Energy on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Atmos Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Atmos Energy over 90 days. Atmos Energy Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the regulated natural gas distribution, and pipelin... More
Atmos Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Atmos Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Atmos Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.41 |
Atmos Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Atmos Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Atmos Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Atmos Energy historical prices to predict the future Atmos Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0238 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0086 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0904 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atmos Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atmos Energy February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0238 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1004 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6955 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3594.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9528 | |||
| Variance | 0.9079 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0086 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0904 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.60) | |||
| Skewness | (0.71) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6828 |
Atmos Energy Backtested Returns
As of now, Atmos Stock is very steady. Atmos Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0469, which signifies that the company had a 0.0469 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Atmos Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Atmos Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0238, mean deviation of 0.6955, and Downside Deviation of 1.23 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.046%. Atmos Energy has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Atmos Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Atmos Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Atmos Energy right now shows a risk of 0.98%. Please confirm Atmos Energy downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Atmos Energy will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
Atmos Energy has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Atmos Energy time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Atmos Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Atmos Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.67 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.08 |
Atmos Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Atmos Energy Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Atmos Energy volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Atmos Energy Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Atmos Energy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atmos Energy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Atmos Energy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Atmos Energy. By analyzing Atmos Energy's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Atmos Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Atmos Energy specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0233 | 0.0204 | 0.0235 | 0.0223 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.08 | 5.77 | 5.19 | 5.45 |
Atmos Energy February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Atmos help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atmos from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Atmos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0238 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1004 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6955 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3594.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9528 | |||
| Variance | 0.9079 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0086 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0904 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.60) | |||
| Skewness | (0.71) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6828 |
Atmos Energy February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Atmos stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24,237 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.77) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 179.01 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 178.71 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.95) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Atmos Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. To learn how to invest in Atmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atmos Energy guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Will Gas Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Atmos diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Atmos Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.094 | Dividend Share 3.61 | Earnings Share 7.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.142 |
The market value of Atmos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Atmos Energy's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Atmos Energy represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Atmos Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.