Ultra Fund R Fund Technical Analysis
| AULRX Fund | USD 79.18 0.62 0.78% |
As of the 1st of February, Ultra Fund has the Semi Deviation of 0.9547, coefficient of variation of 1113.53, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0718. Ultra Fund technical analysis provides you with a way to harness past market data to determine a pattern that measures the direction of the fund's future prices.
Ultra Fund Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as ULTRA, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ULTRAULTRA |
Ultra Fund 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ultra Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ultra Fund.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ultra Fund on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ultra Fund R or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ultra Fund over 90 days. Ultra Fund is related to or competes with Dunham Real, Franklin Real, Voya Real, Columbia Real, and Virtus Real. The fund normally invests in stocks of companies that the adviser believes will increase in value over time More
Ultra Fund Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ultra Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ultra Fund R upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.07 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.47 |
Ultra Fund Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ultra Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ultra Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ultra Fund historical prices to predict the future Ultra Fund's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0718 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1773 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0842 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1371 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4092 |
Ultra Fund February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0718 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4192 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9547 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1113.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Variance | 5.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.07 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1773 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0842 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1371 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4092 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9114 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) | |||
| Skewness | 5.69 | |||
| Kurtosis | 41.1 |
Ultra Fund R Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider ULTRA Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ultra Fund R owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0818, which indicates the fund had a 0.0818 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ultra Fund R, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Ultra Fund's Semi Deviation of 0.9547, coefficient of variation of 1113.53, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0718 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The entity has a beta of 0.47, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ultra Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ultra Fund is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
Ultra Fund R has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ultra Fund time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ultra Fund R price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Ultra Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.63 |
Ultra Fund technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ultra Fund R Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Ultra Fund R volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Ultra Fund Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ultra Fund R on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ultra Fund R based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Ultra Fund R price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ultra Fund R. By analyzing Ultra Fund's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ultra Fund's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ultra Fund specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ultra Fund February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of ULTRA help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ULTRA from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze ULTRA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0718 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4192 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9547 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1113.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Variance | 5.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.07 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1773 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0842 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1371 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4092 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9114 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) | |||
| Skewness | 5.69 | |||
| Kurtosis | 41.1 |
Ultra Fund R One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, Ultra Fund R has an One Year Return of 10.2992%. This is 2883.57% lower than that of the American Century Investments family and significantly higher than that of the Large Growth category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.Ultra Fund February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ULTRA stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 79.18 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 79.18 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.31) |
Other Information on Investing in ULTRA Mutual Fund
Ultra Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether ULTRA Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ULTRA with respect to the benefits of owning Ultra Fund security.
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