Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Etf Technical Analysis
| BTC Etf | USD 37.17 0.09 0.24% |
As of the 31st of January, Grayscale Bitcoin retains the market risk adjusted performance of (0.40), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). Grayscale Bitcoin technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the entity's future prices.
Grayscale Bitcoin Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Grayscale, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GrayscaleGrayscale | Build AI portfolio with Grayscale Etf |
The market value of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grayscale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grayscale Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grayscale Bitcoin's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Grayscale Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grayscale Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Grayscale Bitcoin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Grayscale Bitcoin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Grayscale Bitcoin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Grayscale Bitcoin 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grayscale Bitcoin's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grayscale Bitcoin.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Grayscale Bitcoin on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grayscale Bitcoin Mini or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grayscale Bitcoin over 90 days. Grayscale Bitcoin is related to or competes with Fidelity Sai, NEOS Nasdaq, Fidelity Asset, PIMCO Active, Fidelity Freedom, Vanguard Core, and Fidelity Capital. The investment seeks current income consistent with the long term preservation of capital More
Grayscale Bitcoin Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grayscale Bitcoin's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grayscale Bitcoin Mini upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.06 |
Grayscale Bitcoin Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grayscale Bitcoin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grayscale Bitcoin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grayscale Bitcoin historical prices to predict the future Grayscale Bitcoin's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.41) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grayscale Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grayscale Bitcoin January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.40) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (762.03) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.41) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.06 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1146 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.39) |
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Backtested Returns
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Grayscale Bitcoin Mini exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grayscale Bitcoin's risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.40) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.95, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Grayscale Bitcoin returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Grayscale Bitcoin is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.38 |
Poor reverse predictability
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grayscale Bitcoin time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Grayscale Bitcoin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.3 |
Grayscale Bitcoin technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Grayscale Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on Grayscale Bitcoin Mini price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Grayscale Bitcoin Mini. By analyzing Grayscale Bitcoin's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Grayscale Bitcoin's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Grayscale Bitcoin specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Grayscale Bitcoin January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Grayscale help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grayscale from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Grayscale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.40) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (762.03) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.41) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.06 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1146 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.39) |
Grayscale Bitcoin January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grayscale stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.05 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.04 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 37.82 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 37.60 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.60) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.06 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
The market value of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grayscale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grayscale Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grayscale Bitcoin's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Grayscale Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grayscale Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Grayscale Bitcoin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Grayscale Bitcoin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Grayscale Bitcoin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.