Carlsberg (Germany) Technical Analysis

CBGA Stock  EUR 139.00  6.00  4.14%   
As of the 19th of February, Carlsberg shows the Downside Deviation of 1.87, mean deviation of 1.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0757. Carlsberg AS technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Carlsberg AS jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and treynor ratio to decide if Carlsberg AS is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 139.0 per share.

Carlsberg Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Carlsberg, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Carlsberg
  
Carlsberg's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Carlsberg's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlsberg should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Carlsberg's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Carlsberg 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carlsberg's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carlsberg.
0.00
11/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/19/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Carlsberg on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carlsberg AS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carlsberg over 90 days. Carlsberg is related to or competes with Smurfit Kappa, Smurfit Kappa, HPQ SILICON, METTLER TOLEDO, METTLER TOLEDO, Mettler-Toledo International, and CLABO SPA. Carlsberg AS produces and sells beer and other beverage products in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, and Asia More

Carlsberg Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carlsberg's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carlsberg AS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Carlsberg Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carlsberg's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carlsberg's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carlsberg historical prices to predict the future Carlsberg's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
137.22138.66140.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
133.73135.16152.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
137.96139.39140.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.21142.55183.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carlsberg. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carlsberg's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carlsberg's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carlsberg AS.

Carlsberg February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators

Carlsberg AS Backtested Returns

Carlsberg appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Carlsberg AS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Carlsberg AS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Carlsberg's Downside Deviation of 1.87, risk adjusted performance of 0.0757, and Mean Deviation of 1.17 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Carlsberg holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Carlsberg's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Carlsberg is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Carlsberg's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Carlsberg's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

Carlsberg AS has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carlsberg time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carlsberg AS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Carlsberg price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance27.61
Carlsberg technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Carlsberg technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Carlsberg trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Carlsberg AS Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Carlsberg AS volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Carlsberg Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Carlsberg AS on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carlsberg AS based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Carlsberg AS price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Carlsberg AS. By analyzing Carlsberg's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Carlsberg's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Carlsberg specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Carlsberg February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Carlsberg help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlsberg from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Carlsberg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Carlsberg February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carlsberg stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Carlsberg Stock analysis

When running Carlsberg's price analysis, check to measure Carlsberg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlsberg is operating at the current time. Most of Carlsberg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlsberg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlsberg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlsberg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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