Commencement Bancorp Stock Technical Analysis
| CBWA Stock | USD 16.80 0.04 0.24% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Commencement Bancorp shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.201, coefficient of variation of 400.87, and Mean Deviation of 0.4111. Commencement Bancorp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and break down eighteen technical drivers for Commencement Bancorp, which can be compared to its peers.
Commencement Bancorp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Commencement, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CommencementCommencement |
Commencement Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commencement Bancorp's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commencement Bancorp.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Commencement Bancorp on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commencement Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commencement Bancorp over 90 days. Commencement Bancorp is related to or competes with Community Capital, MF Bancorp, Oak View, and Citizens Holding. Commencement Bancorp Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Commencement Bank that provides various banking product... More
Commencement Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commencement Bancorp's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commencement Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.651 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1339 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.61 |
Commencement Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commencement Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commencement Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commencement Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Commencement Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.201 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1714 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1034 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.62) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commencement Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commencement Bancorp February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.201 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.61) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4111 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.651 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 400.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6984 | |||
| Variance | 0.4878 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1339 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1714 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1034 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.62) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4238 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.10) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) | |||
| Skewness | 2.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.63 |
Commencement Bancorp Backtested Returns
At this point, Commencement Bancorp is very steady. Commencement Bancorp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.23, which signifies that the company had a 0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for Commencement Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Commencement Bancorp's Coefficient Of Variation of 400.87, mean deviation of 0.4111, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.201 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Commencement Bancorp has a performance score of 17 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Commencement Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Commencement Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Commencement Bancorp right now shows a risk of 0.6%. Please confirm Commencement Bancorp downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Commencement Bancorp will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
Commencement Bancorp has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commencement Bancorp time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commencement Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Commencement Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Commencement Bancorp technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Commencement Bancorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Commencement Bancorp across different markets.
About Commencement Bancorp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Commencement Bancorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commencement Bancorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on Commencement Bancorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Commencement Bancorp. By analyzing Commencement Bancorp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Commencement Bancorp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Commencement Bancorp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Commencement Bancorp February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Commencement help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commencement from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Commencement charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.201 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.61) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4111 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.651 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 400.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6984 | |||
| Variance | 0.4878 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1339 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1714 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1034 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.62) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4238 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.10) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) | |||
| Skewness | 2.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.63 |
Commencement Bancorp February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commencement stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 16.80 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 16.80 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) |
Complementary Tools for Commencement OTC Stock analysis
When running Commencement Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Commencement Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commencement Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Commencement Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commencement Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commencement Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commencement Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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