Commerce Midcap Value Fund Technical Analysis
| CFMVX Fund | 25.05 0.41 1.66% |
As of the 23rd of January, Commerce Midcap shows the Downside Deviation of 0.6625, risk adjusted performance of 0.1513, and Mean Deviation of 0.6506. Commerce Midcap Value technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the entity's future prices.
Commerce Midcap Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Commerce, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CommerceCommerce |
Commerce Midcap 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commerce Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commerce Midcap.
| 10/25/2025 |
| 01/23/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Commerce Midcap on October 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commerce Midcap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commerce Midcap over 90 days. Commerce Midcap is related to or competes with Vanguard Mid, John Hancock, John Hancock, Vanguard Mid-cap, Jpmorgan Mid, Jpmorgan Mid, and Jpmorgan Mid. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets plus any borrowings for investmen... More
Commerce Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commerce Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commerce Midcap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6625 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0895 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.53 |
Commerce Midcap Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commerce Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commerce Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commerce Midcap historical prices to predict the future Commerce Midcap's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1513 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1552 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0591 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1247 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7754 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commerce Midcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commerce Midcap January 23, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1513 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7854 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6506 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4046 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.6625 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 494.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9231 | |||
| Variance | 0.8521 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0895 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1552 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0591 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1247 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7754 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4389 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1637 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.78) | |||
| Skewness | 1.56 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.92 |
Commerce Midcap Value Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Commerce Mutual Fund to be very steady. Commerce Midcap Value secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which signifies that the fund had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Commerce Midcap Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Commerce Midcap's Downside Deviation of 0.6625, risk adjusted performance of 0.1513, and Mean Deviation of 0.6506 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Commerce Midcap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Commerce Midcap is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
Commerce Midcap Value has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commerce Midcap time series from 25th of October 2025 to 9th of December 2025 and 9th of December 2025 to 23rd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commerce Midcap Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Commerce Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.18 |
Commerce Midcap technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Commerce Midcap Value Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Commerce Midcap Value volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Commerce Midcap Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Commerce Midcap Value on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commerce Midcap Value based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Commerce Midcap Value price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Commerce Midcap Value. By analyzing Commerce Midcap's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Commerce Midcap's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Commerce Midcap specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Commerce Midcap January 23, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Commerce help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commerce from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Commerce charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1513 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7854 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6506 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4046 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.6625 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 494.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9231 | |||
| Variance | 0.8521 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0895 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1552 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0591 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1247 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7754 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4389 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1637 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.78) | |||
| Skewness | 1.56 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.92 |
Commerce Midcap January 23, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commerce stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 25.05 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 25.05 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.21 |
Other Information on Investing in Commerce Mutual Fund
Commerce Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commerce Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commerce with respect to the benefits of owning Commerce Midcap security.
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