FedEx (Germany) Technical Analysis
| FDX Stock | EUR 314.85 0.35 0.11% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, FedEx shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 321.43, downside deviation of 1.28, and Mean Deviation of 1.4. FedEx technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm FedEx variance, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha to decide if FedEx is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 314.85 per share.
FedEx Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as FedEx, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FedExFedEx |
FedEx 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FedEx's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FedEx.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FedEx on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FedEx or generate 0.0% return on investment in FedEx over 90 days. FedEx is related to or competes with Berkshire Hathaway, KASPIKZ (SPGDR, JSC National, ROHM Co, BANDAI NAMCO, NVR, and PT Jasa. FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services worldwide More
FedEx Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FedEx's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FedEx upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2822 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.83 |
FedEx Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FedEx's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FedEx's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FedEx historical prices to predict the future FedEx's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.253 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5421 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4609 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4028 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.34 |
FedEx February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.253 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.35 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8384 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 321.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Variance | 3.36 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2822 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5421 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4609 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4028 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.34 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7028 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) | |||
| Skewness | 0.795 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.38 |
FedEx Backtested Returns
FedEx appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. FedEx secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.31, which denotes the company had a 0.31 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing FedEx's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.55% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize FedEx's Coefficient Of Variation of 321.43, downside deviation of 1.28, and Mean Deviation of 1.4 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, FedEx holds a performance score of 24. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.42, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, FedEx's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FedEx is expected to be smaller as well. Please check FedEx's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether FedEx's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.79 |
Good predictability
FedEx has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FedEx time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FedEx price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current FedEx price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.58 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 367.33 |
FedEx technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
FedEx Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of FedEx volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About FedEx Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of FedEx on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of FedEx based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on FedEx price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding FedEx. By analyzing FedEx's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of FedEx's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to FedEx specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
FedEx February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of FedEx help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FedEx from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze FedEx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.253 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.35 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8384 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 321.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Variance | 3.36 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2822 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5421 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4609 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4028 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.34 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7028 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) | |||
| Skewness | 0.795 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.38 |
FedEx February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FedEx stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 314.85 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 314.85 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) |
Complementary Tools for FedEx Stock analysis
When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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