FedEx (Germany) Technical Analysis

FDX Stock  EUR 261.95  4.45  1.73%   
As of the 28th of January, FedEx shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 479.32, downside deviation of 1.41, and Mean Deviation of 1.36. FedEx technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm FedEx variance, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha to decide if FedEx is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 261.95 per share.

FedEx Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as FedEx, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FedEx
  
FedEx's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FedEx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FedEx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FedEx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FedEx 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FedEx's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FedEx.
0.00
10/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in FedEx on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FedEx or generate 0.0% return on investment in FedEx over 90 days. FedEx is related to or competes with Caseys General, BURLINGTON STORES, Live Nation, Hollywood Bowl, and Nexstar Media. FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services worldwide More

FedEx Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FedEx's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FedEx upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

FedEx Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FedEx's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FedEx's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FedEx historical prices to predict the future FedEx's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
255.87257.50259.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
247.84249.47283.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
244.92246.55248.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
240.62257.24273.85
Details

FedEx January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

FedEx Backtested Returns

FedEx appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. FedEx secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which denotes the company had a 0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for FedEx, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize FedEx's Mean Deviation of 1.36, downside deviation of 1.41, and Coefficient Of Variation of 479.32 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, FedEx holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.18, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning FedEx are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, FedEx is likely to outperform the market. Please check FedEx's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether FedEx's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.72  

Good predictability

FedEx has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FedEx time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FedEx price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current FedEx price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.72
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance89.53
FedEx technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of FedEx technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of FedEx trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

FedEx Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for FedEx across different markets.

About FedEx Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of FedEx on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of FedEx based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on FedEx price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding FedEx. By analyzing FedEx's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of FedEx's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to FedEx specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

FedEx January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of FedEx help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FedEx from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze FedEx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

FedEx January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FedEx stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for FedEx Stock analysis

When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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