Federated Government Income Fund Technical Analysis
| FICMX Fund | USD 9.16 0.01 0.11% |
As of the 3rd of February, Federated Government shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 3894.72, mean deviation of 0.1557, and Downside Deviation of 0.2246. Federated Government technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the entity's future prices.
Federated Government Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Federated, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FederatedFederated |
Federated Government 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Government.
| 11/05/2025 |
| 02/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federated Government on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Government Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Government over 90 days. Federated Government is related to or competes with Jennison Natural, Calvert Global, Dreyfus Natural, Invesco Energy, Firsthand Alternative, Hennessy, and Energy Fund. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests primarily in mortgage-backed securities of investment-grade quality and... More
Federated Government Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Government Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.2246 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.25) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.7703 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3311 |
Federated Government Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Government historical prices to predict the future Federated Government's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Federated Government February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.1557 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1644 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.2246 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3894.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2014 | |||
| Variance | 0.0405 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.25) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.7703 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3311 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0504 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.027 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.20) | |||
| Skewness | (0.05) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0577 |
Federated Government Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Federated Mutual Fund to be very steady. Federated Government secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0974, which denotes the fund had a 0.0974 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Federated Government Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Government's Downside Deviation of 0.2246, coefficient of variation of 3894.72, and Mean Deviation of 0.1557 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0185%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0751, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Government is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
Federated Government Income has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Government time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Government price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Federated Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.39 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Federated Government technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Federated Government Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Federated Government across different markets.
About Federated Government Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Federated Government Income on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federated Government Income based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Federated Government price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Federated Government. By analyzing Federated Government's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Federated Government's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Federated Government specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Federated Government February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Federated help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federated from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Federated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.1557 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1644 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.2246 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3894.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2014 | |||
| Variance | 0.0405 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.25) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.7703 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3311 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0504 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.027 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.20) | |||
| Skewness | (0.05) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0577 |
Federated Government One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, Federated Government Income has an One Year Return of 8.2838%. This is 39.31% lower than that of the Federated family and significantly higher than that of the Intermediate Government category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.Federated Government February 3, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federated stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 9.16 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 9.16 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.00 |
Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund
Federated Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Government security.
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