Federated Government Income Fund Technical Analysis

FICMX Fund  USD 9.18  0.01  0.11%   
As of the 30th of January, Federated Government shows the Mean Deviation of 0.1548, coefficient of variation of 1980.64, and Downside Deviation of 0.2319. Federated Government technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the entity's future prices.

Federated Government Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Federated, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Federated
  
Federated Government's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Government's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Government is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Government's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federated Government 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Government.
0.00
11/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/30/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federated Government on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Government Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Government over 90 days. Federated Government is related to or competes with Siit High, Intal High, Ab Global, Ladenburg Aggressive, T Rowe, and Fidelity American. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests primarily in mortgage-backed securities of investment-grade quality and... More

Federated Government Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Government Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federated Government Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Government historical prices to predict the future Federated Government's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.969.159.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.129.169.20
Details

Federated Government January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators

Federated Government Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Federated Mutual Fund to be out of control. Federated Government secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0951, which denotes the fund had a 0.0951 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Federated Government Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Government's Coefficient Of Variation of 1980.64, mean deviation of 0.1548, and Downside Deviation of 0.2319 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0184%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0792, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Government is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Federated Government Income has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Government time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Government price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Federated Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
Federated Government technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Federated Government technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Federated Government trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Federated Government Technical Analysis

Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Federated Government volatility developed by Welles Wilder.

About Federated Government Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Federated Government Income on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federated Government Income based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Federated Government price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Federated Government. By analyzing Federated Government's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Federated Government's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Federated Government specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Federated Government January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Federated help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federated from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Federated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Federated Government One Year Return

Based on the recorded statements, Federated Government Income has an One Year Return of 8.2838%. This is 39.31% lower than that of the Federated family and significantly higher than that of the Intermediate Government category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.

Federated Government January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federated stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Government security.
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